That's just stupid; in every speech she gives to the local audience, she goes down the slate of Democratic candidates to vote for; the Bulwark is shite(I actually can stomach Tim Miller)
I would think Philadelphia or Wilmington. The campaign HQ remains in Wilmington and given Philly's distance from Wilmington, that wouldn't be a bad spot for an election night event.
If the internal Republican polling leaked earlier is anything to go by, the terrible Tim's lead in Montana was only 4 points in there (48% - 44%). Hopefully dwindling in the final weeks. I've said for a long time never to give up on Sen. Jon Tester. I've always saw some kind of light at the end of that MT tunnel. Still definitely an uphill battle, but at the same time definitely achievable, all strengthening my hope!!
...nor while corrupt justices endorsed by Leonard Leo, who don’t give a damn about the Constitution and judicial precedence, continue to have a majority on the Supreme Court.
It seemed to have been written for a top level super pac donor. It has levels of detail not seen in internals released to the media and says "proprietary and confidential." Maybe some major donor saw this and blew his top.
The goal of McConnell’s pac is to elect Republicans in the Senate. i think they see the spread between Trump and the Republican candidate as a continued problem that they
want to close. This was not an inadvertent or leaked set of poll as the title of the memo included for media. Harris and the Democrat candidate for the most part have close spread on the elect numbers. They want to Republican voters of Trump to vote downballot.
I don't know if I would say the numbers were generally horrific. I think the margins in AZ, MD, MT and NV are generally in line with numbers we've seen by other pollsters recently even if the high undecideds are producing numbers that seem a little unbelievable. PA is among the best polls for McCormick, but I wouldn't say its an outlier. The 4 that have diverged most are MI, WI, TX and OH. In the case of Ohio and Michigan, I think it could be a function of this pollster not pushing leaners and with leaners it could be something like 48-47, in Ohio and 49-46 in Michigan. Wisconsin and Texas are the two that look the most like outliers
I disagree, I think they got the most they could out of Barnes; personally, I thought he was kind of a weak candidate that was propped up as much as humanly possible
Flashback to 2016, I was SUPREMELY confident that Hillary Clinton & Russ Feingold had Wisconsin in the bag.
Imagine my horror when the winners were Donald Trump & Ron Johnson. Ever since then, I've avoided complacency and see no race on the map as safe. Hopefully Democrats in Wisconsin are feeling the same way!! 💙🇺🇲
The decomposing corpse of Howard Jarvis plagues us to this day. The Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Assn (HJTA) opposes just about anything that spends money or especially anything that raises any kind of tax. In this election they also oppose Props 2 (school bonds) and 4 (Water, fire prevention and other climate risks). HJTA also is against L.A. County Measure A (sales tax funded homeless services) and Measure US (LAUSD local school bonds.). Those bastards have been around forever in CA, or at least since I was a teenager...
Prop 13 also is hurting what should be natural turnover in the single family housing market by giving homeowners like seniors a disincentive from selling their homes and downsizing.
In the 1990's the CA city I lived in had multiple bonds on the ballot one year for funding such things as schools, the fire department and parks. Each failed having gotten about 65%-66% in favor. A 2/3 majority is so undemocratic and has starved CA cities and counties of basic resources. Just what the far right dreams of.
Given its close proximity to places that have shifted double digits to the GOP in recent cycles, I'm quite confident that Erie County will be decisively red moving forward, starting with next month.
Looking at the population and demographic breakdowns, I'm not seeing that big of a difference between Erie County, PA, and Mahoning County, OH. Is Erie County substantially less blue-collar than conventional wisdom would assume?
My first impulse is to look at the county with the longest active streak, Clallam co. in WA. I've noticed that:
- The county is continuously growing in population.
- The elections are usually very close - The winning candidate hasn't won by more than 52% since 1984. Even Obama in 2008 only won by about 3%, nearly the same margin that Biden won.
- Third party percentages are higher than usual (10% in 2016).
Not sure what to make of it, but I'd still go with this as my pick.
It is tough to find a county that is both at a tipping point and one that is not moving in one direction or the other. I would suggest that the popular vote will be similar to Washoe County, Nevada, which has been close to the popular vote the last few elections.
Early Vote update: over 4.5 million people have already voted. As reports come in from additional states later today, we’ll probably approach 5 million. McDonald’s Election Project has breakdowns per state, and for states that report such data: info on party split, gender, age and ethnicity.
Columbus/Indigenous Peoples' Day. From what I understand, this is the last day off for elections workers in PA until every vote is counted. Starting tomorrow, Allegheny County (Pittsburgh & suburbs), for instance, will have at least one satellite voting and/or ballot drop off location open every day EXCEPT Friday (10/18). I know Philadelphia & the Philly Suburban counties are doing similar or larger satellite location operations.
I just saw a Delaware County press release from 10/4 (two Fridays ago) announcing that they just sent out their 54k requested ballots plus their ballot drop boxes open 8am tomorrow morning. My best bud from college told me that he & his parents received their ballots in Washington County Saturday. We're going to see huge updates from Delaware & Erie counties for sure this week. I also expect requests to skyrocket as well as the deadline nears.
Tomorrow's update is going to be the biggest one yet, for sure. And that will be just the beginning.
Quite early, the Hopium community invested a significant amount of money in Nebraska’s Democratic Party and its "Blue Dot". It would be wonderful if massive Blue turnout in the "Blue Dot" helps lift Dan Osborn to victory – although that may still be a long shot. We’ll definitely win the congressional race and its single Electoral Vote.
Hopium also invested early in Ruben Gallego’s senate race in Arizona and in the North Carolina Democratic Party, led by the amazing Anderson Clayton. Gallego is likely to trounce Kari Lake, and NC is looking good!
Just watched Brad Raffensperger, Georgia’s Secretary of State, on a live interview with Amy Gardner of the Washington Post. Very interesting. Good questions and answers on the whole, although I do wish my question had been asked:
“The Georgia Board of Elections has enacted rules allowing local election boards to refuse or delay certification, potentially raising havoc after Election Day. Have you and Governor Kemp rescinded this dangerous usurpation of authority, in order to ensure timely certification of Georgia’s election results?”
I knocked on 41 doors yesterday in Central PA. It was partly a GOTV canvass but also included doors of independents that were not reached earlier. Only got one Trump voter and one wavering voter. Most of the voters contacted already had received their mail ballots and had to return them.
The goal for our area of the Harris/Walz/Casey campaign was to hit 35,000 door prior to the election. Our area is North Central PA, north of Dauphin County (Harrisburg).
My impression is that the field organization is firing on all cylinders.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk's voter mobilization for Trump is going just about as well as his Twitter Spaces. In other words, their app is working so poorly that they can’t track whether their canvassers are actually doing the work.
Conventional wisdom would cause anyone to believe that, but it's definitely possible she loses in a stunner. Stranger things have happened and Dan Osborn is the strongest Independent candidate I've seen in years!!
Smaller state (more easy to retail politic, more affordable to advertise), with a competitive congressional district/electoral vote overlap, outside a republican wave year (hopefully)?
I feel better about Osborn than any of the other reach seats, probably even MT. Have a consistent inkling that something legit is going on with his campaign, and it's connecting with the electorate.
Then again, could just be gas. At my age, it usually is.
I've been fooled too many times to see a independent beating a Republican senator in a Red State. The other side of that coin is true too as Larry Hogan will probably find out in a couple of weeks.
Even if Fischer's internals are to be believed, a 6 point lead for an incumbent in a state as rural and red as Nebraska is very weak, esp from an internal poll no less. Even if Fischer is the favorite here, I'd say it's Lean R at best. NE 02 will be highly competitive at both the congressional level and federal due to Nebraska's unique split electoral vote rules and higher turnout here should benefit Harris, Vargas and Osborn alike. Moreover, if Trump is perceived as a weak candidate and fails to excite his base, it's conceivable that rural areas will turn out less. Both scenarios are quite probable and would benefit Osborn.
I thought that NE's voters were actually highly urban, though granted, Omaha and Lincoln aren't huge cities, and I think a lot of small cities are included in the definition of "urban" in such analyses.
Republicans are up to their usual dirty tricks and attempts at suppression of Black votes, probably showing that all the claims about the Democrats having trouble with Black voters are likely to be no more than marginally accurate:
Michigan Republican Blames ‘Proofing Error’ for Misleading Ad in Black-Owned Newspaper
The state’s legislative Black caucus has asked the attorney general and a county prosecutor to investigate Tom Barrett’s congressional campaign for potential voter disenfranchisement.
Per PoliticalWire's summary of this paywalled article, the "error" was that it "incorrectly listed Election Day as Nov. 6."
So far today, I'd say there is one other significant story on PoliticalWire, which some of you will approve of:
“But the Trump campaign and the Elon Musk-backed America Pac, which is now doing an outsized portion of the Trump ground game, use a management app called Campaign Sidekick that struggles in areas with slow internet and means canvassers have to use an offline version.”
Mailed out my ballot yesterday for KH and Dems up and down the ticket. California is of course never in question as far as its support for our Vice President is concerned but I hope we can get more Democrats into the House as well.
Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris will make her first ever Fox News interview on Wednesday with Special Report host Bret Baier on his show.
Harris's running mate Tim Walz has already been interviewed on Fox News Sunday twice this campaign.
I wish she wouldn’t. It legitimizes them as a news organization and I’m doubtful there are a significant number of Fox viewers that are open to voting for her.
I think that ship sailed decades ago. And, frankly, it's not like the vast majority of the rest of the media is particularly legitimate. If she can get 10 fox viewers to vote for her, or just not bother to vote, good.
Fox is worse than most networks (but not some ONN, etc.) but the vast majority of the news media is truly terrible - either corrupt, incompetent, or both.
Disagree, I don’t think she needs to deal with Fox at all. Treat them like the right wing propaganda machine they are. There would be absolutely zero impact to her not sitting for an interview with them. Any complaints by right wingers could be easily dealt with my just stating that she has decided to talk to legitimate news organizations.
I see it less as an attempt to squeeze out a few votes from Fox News viewers than to signal to some truly undecided voters (who don't watch Fox News) that she's willing to mix it up with hostile outlets.
It's admittedly not without risk....especially since last week was our first reminder in this truncated campaign that she's not good in question-and-answer interview settings. If she thought was winning, I'd probably advise her against it. But since recent campaign moves suggest she doesn't think she's winning, she needs to put out as many signals as she can to assuage her vulnerabilities with skeptical voters that may still be won over, and like it or not, being insufficiently prepared for the job is one of those perceived vulnerabilities.
I have thought about this a lot and where I essentially come down is that this job needs to be done in the, depending on the office, between 18-66 months of your time in office. In the last 6 months before the election, if you're a candidate who is good at media you should basically do interviews with everyone. Obviously there are situational exceptions to this, I certainly wouldn't begrudge Roy Cooper for doing a Fox News interview right now.
But I do think in the time between elections, yeah I think they should be frozen out. I don't think they should have a prime seat at press briefings. Unless its one of those aforementioned situational exceptions I don't think a safe seat Democrat should ever do an interview with Fox News.
I think they're also going to ramp up, probably through surrogates and digital ads, the Trump is a coward message by ducking another debate and also pointing to all the interviews she's done with more neutral outlets while he basically only does bro podcasts and right wing news outlets and her going on Fox News the most well known of those right wing news outlets allows her to make that argument even more strongly.
Of all the arguments presented this one I can potentially get behind. If those attacks actually do occur then I would agree, it’s a decent idea to do the interview.
I imagine this is less about Fox viewers than it is about demonstrating to everyone else that she is bipartisan, open to reaching out, not afraid of debate and tough questions, etc.
The Democrats do need to flip the House and keep the Senate to accomplish much of anything. But that's not all on Harris.
That's just stupid; in every speech she gives to the local audience, she goes down the slate of Democratic candidates to vote for; the Bulwark is shite(I actually can stomach Tim Miller)
She moved to LA awhile back, so I’d expect her to choose that before SF.
All smart folks pick LA over SF...lol
You gotta be a Dodgers fan(amirite?)
since the days in Brooklyn...never been there but my ancestors settled there after arriving at Ellis Island.
I had to leave the house today (horrors), but wore my navy Cardinals hat. Just so y'all know I must do election analysis the right way.
Growing up in Charlotte, I could get KMOX (and thus, el Birdos games) on my clock radio, after sunset. Wonderful for the lifelong insomniac.
My guess isnshe breaks tradition and holds her rally in a swing state she expects to win by the most. Right now Detroit seems like a solid contender
MI will get it's count done long before PA or WI due to the Dem trifecta. We'll have an answer there quicker, most likely.
I would think Philadelphia or Wilmington. The campaign HQ remains in Wilmington and given Philly's distance from Wilmington, that wouldn't be a bad spot for an election night event.
Philadelphia has a lot of election day voting so holding the election eve rally there makes the most sense
I'm going to guess LA; I think her last campaign events will be middle of the night rallies in both Phoenix and Las Vegas; and from there home to LA
If the internal Republican polling leaked earlier is anything to go by, the terrible Tim's lead in Montana was only 4 points in there (48% - 44%). Hopefully dwindling in the final weeks. I've said for a long time never to give up on Sen. Jon Tester. I've always saw some kind of light at the end of that MT tunnel. Still definitely an uphill battle, but at the same time definitely achievable, all strengthening my hope!!
💙🇺🇲🙏🌊
Maybe or maybe not. We can't assume Republicans will do well in a midterm while a Democrat is in the White House anymore.
...nor while corrupt justices endorsed by Leonard Leo, who don’t give a damn about the Constitution and judicial precedence, continue to have a majority on the Supreme Court.
Perhaps to motivate donors?
Good point.
There is a strong possibility that they are NOT strategic masters. Just saying.
It seemed to have been written for a top level super pac donor. It has levels of detail not seen in internals released to the media and says "proprietary and confidential." Maybe some major donor saw this and blew his top.
The goal of McConnell’s pac is to elect Republicans in the Senate. i think they see the spread between Trump and the Republican candidate as a continued problem that they
want to close. This was not an inadvertent or leaked set of poll as the title of the memo included for media. Harris and the Democrat candidate for the most part have close spread on the elect numbers. They want to Republican voters of Trump to vote downballot.
I don't know if I would say the numbers were generally horrific. I think the margins in AZ, MD, MT and NV are generally in line with numbers we've seen by other pollsters recently even if the high undecideds are producing numbers that seem a little unbelievable. PA is among the best polls for McCormick, but I wouldn't say its an outlier. The 4 that have diverged most are MI, WI, TX and OH. In the case of Ohio and Michigan, I think it could be a function of this pollster not pushing leaners and with leaners it could be something like 48-47, in Ohio and 49-46 in Michigan. Wisconsin and Texas are the two that look the most like outliers
Wisconsin Democrats need to be firing on all cylinders for Kamala & Tammy, can't get caught napping like 2016!! 💙🇺🇲
I'm a fan of the Wisconsin Democratic party; they know how to win close races
They got caught napping in 2022 too. Mandela Barnes had a very winnable race and everyone ignored him until it was too late.
I disagree, I think they got the most they could out of Barnes; personally, I thought he was kind of a weak candidate that was propped up as much as humanly possible
The problem in 2022 WI-Sen was that we didn't clear the field for Barnes nearly soon enough, so that his early fundraising suffered.
That and everyone wrote him off due to crappy October polling + Red Wave hype that didn't materialize.
Flashback to 2016, I was SUPREMELY confident that Hillary Clinton & Russ Feingold had Wisconsin in the bag.
Imagine my horror when the winners were Donald Trump & Ron Johnson. Ever since then, I've avoided complacency and see no race on the map as safe. Hopefully Democrats in Wisconsin are feeling the same way!! 💙🇺🇲
Supposedly liberal people who hate seeing homeless people but support maintaining the housing shortage are nothing new.
The decomposing corpse of Howard Jarvis plagues us to this day. The Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Assn (HJTA) opposes just about anything that spends money or especially anything that raises any kind of tax. In this election they also oppose Props 2 (school bonds) and 4 (Water, fire prevention and other climate risks). HJTA also is against L.A. County Measure A (sales tax funded homeless services) and Measure US (LAUSD local school bonds.). Those bastards have been around forever in CA, or at least since I was a teenager...
Prop 13 also is hurting what should be natural turnover in the single family housing market by giving homeowners like seniors a disincentive from selling their homes and downsizing.
We count our blessings that we’re living where the property tax is about $ 1000. And that’s per year.
Where is that again?
In the 1990's the CA city I lived in had multiple bonds on the ballot one year for funding such things as schools, the fire department and parks. Each failed having gotten about 65%-66% in favor. A 2/3 majority is so undemocratic and has starved CA cities and counties of basic resources. Just what the far right dreams of.
Erie PA
Given its close proximity to places that have shifted double digits to the GOP in recent cycles, I'm quite confident that Erie County will be decisively red moving forward, starting with next month.
Looking at the population and demographic breakdowns, I'm not seeing that big of a difference between Erie County, PA, and Mahoning County, OH. Is Erie County substantially less blue-collar than conventional wisdom would assume?
My first impulse is to look at the county with the longest active streak, Clallam co. in WA. I've noticed that:
- The county is continuously growing in population.
- The elections are usually very close - The winning candidate hasn't won by more than 52% since 1984. Even Obama in 2008 only won by about 3%, nearly the same margin that Biden won.
- Third party percentages are higher than usual (10% in 2016).
Not sure what to make of it, but I'd still go with this as my pick.
Possibly Oklahoma County, OK.
Northampton County, PA.
This is the one considered pretty much the State bellwether, no?
It is tough to find a county that is both at a tipping point and one that is not moving in one direction or the other. I would suggest that the popular vote will be similar to Washoe County, Nevada, which has been close to the popular vote the last few elections.
Clay, MO, and Spotsylvania, VA, are a couple for me.
Saginaw County. Also the winner in MI 08.
Early Vote update: over 4.5 million people have already voted. As reports come in from additional states later today, we’ll probably approach 5 million. McDonald’s Election Project has breakdowns per state, and for states that report such data: info on party split, gender, age and ethnicity.
https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/
I appreciate your cairn showing us the path of early vote each day.
As of 1:30pm, the count is just a hair below 4.7 million. Stephen is right about PA.
These updates include no updates from PA since Friday morning due to the holiday weekend & that ALL votes before Election Day are mail-in ballots.
What holiday?
Is today not a holiday where you are?
Honestly, maybe I missed something due to the hurricanes but I hadn't seen any coverage of a holiday here
That explains why the traffic was not too bad.
Columbus/Indigenous Peoples' Day. From what I understand, this is the last day off for elections workers in PA until every vote is counted. Starting tomorrow, Allegheny County (Pittsburgh & suburbs), for instance, will have at least one satellite voting and/or ballot drop off location open every day EXCEPT Friday (10/18). I know Philadelphia & the Philly Suburban counties are doing similar or larger satellite location operations.
Thanks; I'm completely in the dark apparently; lol
Based on my canvassing yesterday, we should expect a ton of mail in ballots to be returned in PA this week.
I just saw a Delaware County press release from 10/4 (two Fridays ago) announcing that they just sent out their 54k requested ballots plus their ballot drop boxes open 8am tomorrow morning. My best bud from college told me that he & his parents received their ballots in Washington County Saturday. We're going to see huge updates from Delaware & Erie counties for sure this week. I also expect requests to skyrocket as well as the deadline nears.
Tomorrow's update is going to be the biggest one yet, for sure. And that will be just the beginning.
Quite early, the Hopium community invested a significant amount of money in Nebraska’s Democratic Party and its "Blue Dot". It would be wonderful if massive Blue turnout in the "Blue Dot" helps lift Dan Osborn to victory – although that may still be a long shot. We’ll definitely win the congressional race and its single Electoral Vote.
Hopium also invested early in Ruben Gallego’s senate race in Arizona and in the North Carolina Democratic Party, led by the amazing Anderson Clayton. Gallego is likely to trounce Kari Lake, and NC is looking good!
I'm not sure I'd say we're "definitely" going to win the congressional race. I'm pretty confident in the electoral vote, though...
Just watched Brad Raffensperger, Georgia’s Secretary of State, on a live interview with Amy Gardner of the Washington Post. Very interesting. Good questions and answers on the whole, although I do wish my question had been asked:
“The Georgia Board of Elections has enacted rules allowing local election boards to refuse or delay certification, potentially raising havoc after Election Day. Have you and Governor Kemp rescinded this dangerous usurpation of authority, in order to ensure timely certification of Georgia’s election results?”
I knocked on 41 doors yesterday in Central PA. It was partly a GOTV canvass but also included doors of independents that were not reached earlier. Only got one Trump voter and one wavering voter. Most of the voters contacted already had received their mail ballots and had to return them.
The goal for our area of the Harris/Walz/Casey campaign was to hit 35,000 door prior to the election. Our area is North Central PA, north of Dauphin County (Harrisburg).
My impression is that the field organization is firing on all cylinders.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk's voter mobilization for Trump is going just about as well as his Twitter Spaces. In other words, their app is working so poorly that they can’t track whether their canvassers are actually doing the work.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/14/trump-ground-game-smartphone-app
True stroke of genius for the Trump Campaign to outsource their groundgame to Musk!
/S
And don't forget the ever forgettable Charlie Kirk
Another yuge genius. I am so grateful to him, as well as to Tulsi Gabbard and Laura Loomer who helped prepare Trump for his catastrophic debate.
AFAIK. Loomer is still on that plane(maybe I missed something recently)
I expect Fisher to win. NE-SEN-A will likely stay red.
Conventional wisdom would cause anyone to believe that, but it's definitely possible she loses in a stunner. Stranger things have happened and Dan Osborn is the strongest Independent candidate I've seen in years!!
What's making him stronger than Greg Orman was in KS?
Smaller state (more easy to retail politic, more affordable to advertise), with a competitive congressional district/electoral vote overlap, outside a republican wave year (hopefully)?
I didn't realize NE had a lower population, but it does.
Per DuckAssist, whatever that is (top of DuckDuckGo search results):
"As of July 1, 2023, Nebraska's population is estimated to be 1,978,379."
"The population of Kansas was 2,937,880 according to the 2020 census."
I guess that makes sense, since KS has Wichita, Topeka and Kansas City, Kansas, plus a bunch of KC suburbs, whereas NE has only Omaha and Lincoln.
I feel better about Osborn than any of the other reach seats, probably even MT. Have a consistent inkling that something legit is going on with his campaign, and it's connecting with the electorate.
Then again, could just be gas. At my age, it usually is.
I've been fooled too many times to see a independent beating a Republican senator in a Red State. The other side of that coin is true too as Larry Hogan will probably find out in a couple of weeks.
Fischer is a real commie.
Even if Fischer's internals are to be believed, a 6 point lead for an incumbent in a state as rural and red as Nebraska is very weak, esp from an internal poll no less. Even if Fischer is the favorite here, I'd say it's Lean R at best. NE 02 will be highly competitive at both the congressional level and federal due to Nebraska's unique split electoral vote rules and higher turnout here should benefit Harris, Vargas and Osborn alike. Moreover, if Trump is perceived as a weak candidate and fails to excite his base, it's conceivable that rural areas will turn out less. Both scenarios are quite probable and would benefit Osborn.
I thought that NE's voters were actually highly urban, though granted, Omaha and Lincoln aren't huge cities, and I think a lot of small cities are included in the definition of "urban" in such analyses.
In NJ-07, if the DCCC is reluctant to advertise in the NYC TV market, why can't they spend money for canvassing?
Republicans are up to their usual dirty tricks and attempts at suppression of Black votes, probably showing that all the claims about the Democrats having trouble with Black voters are likely to be no more than marginally accurate:
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/14/us/politics/michigan-republican-misleading-ad.html
Michigan Republican Blames ‘Proofing Error’ for Misleading Ad in Black-Owned Newspaper
The state’s legislative Black caucus has asked the attorney general and a county prosecutor to investigate Tom Barrett’s congressional campaign for potential voter disenfranchisement.
Per PoliticalWire's summary of this paywalled article, the "error" was that it "incorrectly listed Election Day as Nov. 6."
So far today, I'd say there is one other significant story on PoliticalWire, which some of you will approve of:
https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/14/harris-agrees-to-interview-with-fox-news/
“The interview, with Fox News’s chief political anchor, Bret Baier, will take place near Philadelphia on Wednesday, shortly before it airs at 6 p.m."
I guess Baier is among the more professional people on that habitually lying entertainment network.
There's also this story that we can laugh and point at:
https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/14/trumps-ground-game-app-crashes/
“But the Trump campaign and the Elon Musk-backed America Pac, which is now doing an outsized portion of the Trump ground game, use a management app called Campaign Sidekick that struggles in areas with slow internet and means canvassers have to use an offline version.”
Mailed out my ballot yesterday for KH and Dems up and down the ticket. California is of course never in question as far as its support for our Vice President is concerned but I hope we can get more Democrats into the House as well.
3 more weeks to go. Let's go.
Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris will make her first ever Fox News interview on Wednesday with Special Report host Bret Baier on his show.
Harris's running mate Tim Walz has already been interviewed on Fox News Sunday twice this campaign.
https://www.thewrap.com/kamala-harris-fox-news-interview-bret-baier-special-report-when/
I wish she wouldn’t. It legitimizes them as a news organization and I’m doubtful there are a significant number of Fox viewers that are open to voting for her.
I think that ship sailed decades ago. And, frankly, it's not like the vast majority of the rest of the media is particularly legitimate. If she can get 10 fox viewers to vote for her, or just not bother to vote, good.
I kind of agree with both of you, but especially you.
You mean other stations have had to pay out nearly a billion dollars in damages for level?
Fox is worse than most networks (but not some ONN, etc.) but the vast majority of the news media is truly terrible - either corrupt, incompetent, or both.
You gotta deal with the media landscape you have, not the media landscape you may wish you had.
Disagree, I don’t think she needs to deal with Fox at all. Treat them like the right wing propaganda machine they are. There would be absolutely zero impact to her not sitting for an interview with them. Any complaints by right wingers could be easily dealt with my just stating that she has decided to talk to legitimate news organizations.
I see it less as an attempt to squeeze out a few votes from Fox News viewers than to signal to some truly undecided voters (who don't watch Fox News) that she's willing to mix it up with hostile outlets.
It's admittedly not without risk....especially since last week was our first reminder in this truncated campaign that she's not good in question-and-answer interview settings. If she thought was winning, I'd probably advise her against it. But since recent campaign moves suggest she doesn't think she's winning, she needs to put out as many signals as she can to assuage her vulnerabilities with skeptical voters that may still be won over, and like it or not, being insufficiently prepared for the job is one of those perceived vulnerabilities.
I have thought about this a lot and where I essentially come down is that this job needs to be done in the, depending on the office, between 18-66 months of your time in office. In the last 6 months before the election, if you're a candidate who is good at media you should basically do interviews with everyone. Obviously there are situational exceptions to this, I certainly wouldn't begrudge Roy Cooper for doing a Fox News interview right now.
But I do think in the time between elections, yeah I think they should be frozen out. I don't think they should have a prime seat at press briefings. Unless its one of those aforementioned situational exceptions I don't think a safe seat Democrat should ever do an interview with Fox News.
I think they're also going to ramp up, probably through surrogates and digital ads, the Trump is a coward message by ducking another debate and also pointing to all the interviews she's done with more neutral outlets while he basically only does bro podcasts and right wing news outlets and her going on Fox News the most well known of those right wing news outlets allows her to make that argument even more strongly.
Of all the arguments presented this one I can potentially get behind. If those attacks actually do occur then I would agree, it’s a decent idea to do the interview.
I imagine this is less about Fox viewers than it is about demonstrating to everyone else that she is bipartisan, open to reaching out, not afraid of debate and tough questions, etc.
Not sure why she’d do this. 3 weeks out and we’re talking to Fox News viewers?
I hope they made some kind of deal whereby Bret Baier agrees to not interrupt Harris as much as he did with Obama.
Here is perfect parry to that crap:
"My apologies for talking while you’re trying to interrupt me, but..."
Democrats are pathetic wimps Part XXXVVVIII . . . .