Conventional wisdom would cause anyone to believe that, but it's definitely possible she loses in a stunner. Stranger things have happened and Dan Osborn is the strongest Independent candidate I've seen in years!!
Conventional wisdom would cause anyone to believe that, but it's definitely possible she loses in a stunner. Stranger things have happened and Dan Osborn is the strongest Independent candidate I've seen in years!!
Smaller state (more easy to retail politic, more affordable to advertise), with a competitive congressional district/electoral vote overlap, outside a republican wave year (hopefully)?
Nebraska is about 3 points redder then Kansas тАУ but yeah, it's 2/3rds the size, and I wonder if having the population more condensed into Omaha and Lincoln helps at all.
I don't think Osborn is very likely to win, but I can see why he might be able to make them sweat in a way that Orman couldn't a decade ago.
Maybe bc both Senate seats are up? Gives voters the option to be Republicans for one and then prove the тАЬindependenceтАЭ that so many voters claim to have. Plus, Trump at the top gives voters a lot of options to be Republican but also give that little slice of fuck all yaтАЩll. Throw in a touch of sexism from men wanting to vote for a man and there you have it.
I feel better about Osborn than any of the other reach seats, probably even MT. Have a consistent inkling that something legit is going on with his campaign, and it's connecting with the electorate.
Then again, could just be gas. At my age, it usually is.
Conventional wisdom would cause anyone to believe that, but it's definitely possible she loses in a stunner. Stranger things have happened and Dan Osborn is the strongest Independent candidate I've seen in years!!
What's making him stronger than Greg Orman was in KS?
Smaller state (more easy to retail politic, more affordable to advertise), with a competitive congressional district/electoral vote overlap, outside a republican wave year (hopefully)?
I didn't realize NE had a lower population, but it does.
Per DuckAssist, whatever that is (top of DuckDuckGo search results):
"As of July 1, 2023, Nebraska's population is estimated to be 1,978,379."
"The population of Kansas was 2,937,880 according to the 2020 census."
I guess that makes sense, since KS has Wichita, Topeka and Kansas City, Kansas, plus a bunch of KC suburbs, whereas NE has only Omaha and Lincoln.
Nebraska is about 3 points redder then Kansas тАУ but yeah, it's 2/3rds the size, and I wonder if having the population more condensed into Omaha and Lincoln helps at all.
I don't think Osborn is very likely to win, but I can see why he might be able to make them sweat in a way that Orman couldn't a decade ago.
It would certainly make the GOTV focus easier, plus Tony Vargas running a strong race of his own
Maybe bc both Senate seats are up? Gives voters the option to be Republicans for one and then prove the тАЬindependenceтАЭ that so many voters claim to have. Plus, Trump at the top gives voters a lot of options to be Republican but also give that little slice of fuck all yaтАЩll. Throw in a touch of sexism from men wanting to vote for a man and there you have it.
I feel better about Osborn than any of the other reach seats, probably even MT. Have a consistent inkling that something legit is going on with his campaign, and it's connecting with the electorate.
Then again, could just be gas. At my age, it usually is.