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Note: This open thread is a Democratic presidential primary-free space.
https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/12/why-the-polls-might-be-underestimating-harris/
This is a little complicated, so click the link, but here's part of it:
"If someone mistakenly says they voted for Biden in 2020 but had actually voted for Trump, and then says they plan to vote for Trump in 2024, it will look like there’s been a shift toward Trump when there actually hasn’t been.”
The latest Times/Inquirer/Siena polls found Donald Trump with a six-point advantage in Arizona, and Kamala Harris with a four-point lead in Pennsylvania.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/12/us/politics/times-siena-arizona-pennsylvania-polls.html