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michaelflutist's avatar

https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/12/why-the-polls-might-be-underestimating-harris/

This is a little complicated, so click the link, but here's part of it:

"If someone mistakenly says they voted for Biden in 2020 but had actually voted for Trump, and then says they plan to vote for Trump in 2024, it will look like there’s been a shift toward Trump when there actually hasn’t been.”

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Stargate77's avatar

How many people actually forget who they voted for in past Presidential elections? I have a hard time believing they make up a significant percentage of the electorate.

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Kuka's avatar

Political scientists say a lot of people misremember. In particular they say they voted for the winner when that actually voted for the loser.

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Jonathan's avatar

They always convince themselves they actually voted for the winner; it's a weird coping mechanism(this was literally taught to me in politics sci 101); it's very strange because the ballot now is a secret ballot and the election is over

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James Trout's avatar

After Watergate, the majority of Americans claimed to have voted for McGovern. If they "misremember", it's because they want to forget something.

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