The College of Cardinals is the electorate here. There are 135 voting-eligible members (Cardinals under the age of 80), although Varican law allows a maximum of 120 voting members. Not sure how they'll square that.
At present, 80% of the 135 were appointed by Francis. A two-thirds majority is necessary for election, so if nearly all of the Francis Cardinals stick together for a progressive candidate, it should be okay, unless they stick to the 120 maximum and lop off 15 Francis Cardinals. Only 5 JPII Cardinals left, which is good. My uneducated guess is Parolin (familiarity among the College) or de Rocha (continuity).
Based on that article it sounds like the appropriate meme would be Captain Barbossa saying that the 120 voting Cardinals is more of a guideline than an actual rule.
Parolin or Zuppi seem to be the best guesses. Then again, he who enters the conclave a Pope leaves a Cardinal. Bergoglio was a super unlikely choice in 2013
The most interesting fact I've found about this so far is that in the 2013 conclave, 52% of the participating cardinals were from Europe. This time, of the 135 eligible cardinals, only 39% are from Europe.
Maybe this could increase the chances of another non-European pope?
what is the problem with a European Pope? Not Catholic and not really up on the politics of the Vatican except I know there have been some pretty extreme Popes in the past
No problems at all. ThereтАЩs just speculation that since the ChurchтАЩs growth and the balance of faithful bring in the developing world that the Church may find purchase in going outside of Europe yet again in acknowledgement of that
Tagle I think would have a harder time in a conclave now than a few years ago with some allegations of helping cover up sexual abuse out there. You can check the same boxes with Besungu it you want somebody outside of Europe with a similar reformist profile
I said "damn" out loud when I got an email this morning titled "remembering Pope Francis." He died after having double pneumonia, a reminder for those of us over 50 to get pneumonococcus shots. I haven't gotten mine yet this year, and it will be my first since the CDC guidelines changed (and who knows what they might be and whether the vaccine will be covered by U.S. insurance policies next year!).
Pope Francis passed away at 88
The College of Cardinals is the electorate here. There are 135 voting-eligible members (Cardinals under the age of 80), although Varican law allows a maximum of 120 voting members. Not sure how they'll square that.
At present, 80% of the 135 were appointed by Francis. A two-thirds majority is necessary for election, so if nearly all of the Francis Cardinals stick together for a progressive candidate, it should be okay, unless they stick to the 120 maximum and lop off 15 Francis Cardinals. Only 5 JPII Cardinals left, which is good. My uneducated guess is Parolin (familiarity among the College) or de Rocha (continuity).
So we won't know who the new Pope is until early May once the nine days of mourning for Francis is complete.
I'm guessing where the Cardinal is from will be more relevant than their views-another non-European Cardinal will be the favorite.
Apparently the "120" limit is ... less than clear: https://www.pillarcatholic.com/p/is-there-really-a-limit-on-the-number
Based on that article it sounds like the appropriate meme would be Captain Barbossa saying that the 120 voting Cardinals is more of a guideline than an actual rule.
ЁЯШВ
"Don't say 'conclave'!"
Parolin or Zuppi seem to be the best guesses. Then again, he who enters the conclave a Pope leaves a Cardinal. Bergoglio was a super unlikely choice in 2013
The most interesting fact I've found about this so far is that in the 2013 conclave, 52% of the participating cardinals were from Europe. This time, of the 135 eligible cardinals, only 39% are from Europe.
Maybe this could increase the chances of another non-European pope?
I think a non European has a good chance. Ironically, that may make for a more conservative Pope, especially if theyтАЩre an African
what is the problem with a European Pope? Not Catholic and not really up on the politics of the Vatican except I know there have been some pretty extreme Popes in the past
No problems at all. ThereтАЩs just speculation that since the ChurchтАЩs growth and the balance of faithful bring in the developing world that the Church may find purchase in going outside of Europe yet again in acknowledgement of that
Not if itтАЩs Tagle from the Philippines. HeтАЩs the most likely to carry on FrancisтАЩs legacy.
Tagle I think would have a harder time in a conclave now than a few years ago with some allegations of helping cover up sexual abuse out there. You can check the same boxes with Besungu it you want somebody outside of Europe with a similar reformist profile
may the next pontiff be as open minded as his holiness was. not without mistakes but a welcome break from the previous series of pontiffs
I said "damn" out loud when I got an email this morning titled "remembering Pope Francis." He died after having double pneumonia, a reminder for those of us over 50 to get pneumonococcus shots. I haven't gotten mine yet this year, and it will be my first since the CDC guidelines changed (and who knows what they might be and whether the vaccine will be covered by U.S. insurance policies next year!).