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ProudNewEnglander's avatar

61-34 Trump in WV is actually an excellent result for Democrats, since Trump won it 69-30 in 2020.

At the very least, that would definitely be enough for Harris to win Monongalia County and thus break the streak of Republicans winning every county in WV for three elections in a row.

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Skaje's avatar

12 point shift to the left! Implies 16 point national win, 425-113 electoral college margin ;-). Joking of course, but people try to do this stuff whenever a poll comes out with Harris apparently shedding 10 points in CA or NY (always with a lot of undecideds...) Agreed, I do think Monongalia is easily flipping this year. I feel like Jefferson and then Kanawha are going to flip eventually, but doubtful this year.

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sacman701's avatar

There seems to be a longstanding pattern of polls in uncompetitive states consistently being too favorable to the weaker party. California statewide polls almost always overstate GOP support, for example. I suspect that this comes from people who just answer randomly.

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Jonathan's avatar

True but every new poll shows a distinct shift; even from fox polling and Rasmussen(the one that has nothing to do with Scott Rasmussen)

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Jonathan's avatar

All joking aside.. If that margin holds nationwide, Harris wins North Carolina.. Game..Set..Match

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Zero Cool's avatar

Monongalia County also has West Virginia University, which I believe is the most notable university in the state.

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