12 point shift to the left! Implies 16 point national win, 425-113 electoral college margin ;-). Joking of course, but people try to do this stuff whenever a poll comes out with Harris apparently shedding 10 points in CA or NY (always with a lot of undecideds...) Agreed, I do think Monongalia is easily flipping this year. I feel like Jef…
12 point shift to the left! Implies 16 point national win, 425-113 electoral college margin ;-). Joking of course, but people try to do this stuff whenever a poll comes out with Harris apparently shedding 10 points in CA or NY (always with a lot of undecideds...) Agreed, I do think Monongalia is easily flipping this year. I feel like Jefferson and then Kanawha are going to flip eventually, but doubtful this year.
There seems to be a longstanding pattern of polls in uncompetitive states consistently being too favorable to the weaker party. California statewide polls almost always overstate GOP support, for example. I suspect that this comes from people who just answer randomly.
12 point shift to the left! Implies 16 point national win, 425-113 electoral college margin ;-). Joking of course, but people try to do this stuff whenever a poll comes out with Harris apparently shedding 10 points in CA or NY (always with a lot of undecideds...) Agreed, I do think Monongalia is easily flipping this year. I feel like Jefferson and then Kanawha are going to flip eventually, but doubtful this year.
There seems to be a longstanding pattern of polls in uncompetitive states consistently being too favorable to the weaker party. California statewide polls almost always overstate GOP support, for example. I suspect that this comes from people who just answer randomly.
True but every new poll shows a distinct shift; even from fox polling and Rasmussen(the one that has nothing to do with Scott Rasmussen)
All joking aside.. If that margin holds nationwide, Harris wins North Carolina.. Game..Set..Match