I fully understand retaking Congress is more important holding NJ Governor, and not trying to beat a dead horse here, but we still may end up with a not great nominee. Spiller has no donor support, just all money from his Super Pac, and seems to be taking votes away from Baraka/Fulop within their fellow executive officials lane. While I …
I fully understand retaking Congress is more important holding NJ Governor, and not trying to beat a dead horse here, but we still may end up with a not great nominee. Spiller has no donor support, just all money from his Super Pac, and seems to be taking votes away from Baraka/Fulop within their fellow executive officials lane. While I would love either Baraka or Sherill, the otherwise positive demise of the line has me concerned we have a general election on our hands if Spiller somehow pulls this off. Hat tip to Paleo for explaining my concern about Sweeney is overblown, there arent enough votes in the cow counties to get him the nomination.
Sherrill is the stronger candidate in my honest opinion. Well spoken, decorated veteran, down-to-earth congresswoman. Would make a damn good Governor. Her House seat would need filled in a special election, though? The safe choice considering how close Murphy's 2021 reelection was against the possible repeat Republican nominee Ciattarelli, who suggested creating a state-level DOGE in Trenton. Democrats should immediately pounce on that!! 💙🇺🇲
I have a reason for that. In 2024, Trump only gained around 100k votes in NJ (average 1.8 million in 2020 & 1.9 million in 2024), whereas Harris got around 400k LESS than Biden in 2020 (Biden 2.6 million in 2020 & Harris 2.2 million in 2024).
Turnout was 72% in NJ in 2020, dropped 7% down to 65% in 2024, likely reduced DEMOCRATIC turnout, the bad debate Biden had as well as the switcheroo depressed base turnout it seems. Some Independents going to Trump from Biden from 2020 wouldn't have helped either!! 💙🇺🇲
I fully understand retaking Congress is more important holding NJ Governor, and not trying to beat a dead horse here, but we still may end up with a not great nominee. Spiller has no donor support, just all money from his Super Pac, and seems to be taking votes away from Baraka/Fulop within their fellow executive officials lane. While I would love either Baraka or Sherill, the otherwise positive demise of the line has me concerned we have a general election on our hands if Spiller somehow pulls this off. Hat tip to Paleo for explaining my concern about Sweeney is overblown, there arent enough votes in the cow counties to get him the nomination.
https://newjerseyglobe.com/the-watcher/the-watcher-democratic-governors-race-is-getting-tighter-poll-says/
I don't think Spiller will win. The Fulop poll still has Sherrill ahead.
Sherrill is the stronger candidate in my honest opinion. Well spoken, decorated veteran, down-to-earth congresswoman. Would make a damn good Governor. Her House seat would need filled in a special election, though? The safe choice considering how close Murphy's 2021 reelection was against the possible repeat Republican nominee Ciattarelli, who suggested creating a state-level DOGE in Trenton. Democrats should immediately pounce on that!! 💙🇺🇲
Yeah, I thought that 2021's unexpectedly-close margin was due to Covid, but seeing how New Jersey voted in 2024, I'm not so sure now.
I have a reason for that. In 2024, Trump only gained around 100k votes in NJ (average 1.8 million in 2020 & 1.9 million in 2024), whereas Harris got around 400k LESS than Biden in 2020 (Biden 2.6 million in 2020 & Harris 2.2 million in 2024).
Turnout was 72% in NJ in 2020, dropped 7% down to 65% in 2024, likely reduced DEMOCRATIC turnout, the bad debate Biden had as well as the switcheroo depressed base turnout it seems. Some Independents going to Trump from Biden from 2020 wouldn't have helped either!! 💙🇺🇲
[BItter comments about the Democratic base failing to recognize the threat of Trump withheld]
Yes, there would be a special election. With a Republican in the White House, Democrats should not have much of a problem holding it.