I have a reason for that. In 2024, Trump only gained around 100k votes in NJ (average 1.8 million in 2020 & 1.9 million in 2024), whereas Harris got around 400k LESS than Biden in 2020 (Biden 2.6 million in 2020 & Harris 2.2 million in 2024).
Turnout was 72% in NJ in 2020, dropped 7% down to 65% in 2024, likely reduced DEMOCRATIC turnout, the bad debate Biden had as well as the switcheroo depressed base turnout it seems. Some Independents going to Trump from Biden from 2020 wouldn't have helped either!! 💙🇺🇲
Yeah, I thought that 2021's unexpectedly-close margin was due to Covid, but seeing how New Jersey voted in 2024, I'm not so sure now.
I have a reason for that. In 2024, Trump only gained around 100k votes in NJ (average 1.8 million in 2020 & 1.9 million in 2024), whereas Harris got around 400k LESS than Biden in 2020 (Biden 2.6 million in 2020 & Harris 2.2 million in 2024).
Turnout was 72% in NJ in 2020, dropped 7% down to 65% in 2024, likely reduced DEMOCRATIC turnout, the bad debate Biden had as well as the switcheroo depressed base turnout it seems. Some Independents going to Trump from Biden from 2020 wouldn't have helped either!! 💙🇺🇲
[BItter comments about the Democratic base failing to recognize the threat of Trump withheld]