My feeling is that since we always consider Ralston the best expert on what's actually happening in Nevada, we need to take him just as seriously when he's downbeat on Democratic prospects as when he's upbeat. I realize interpretations of what he's getting at differ somewhat, but the bottom line is that we can't take people seriously onl…
My feeling is that since we always consider Ralston the best expert on what's actually happening in Nevada, we need to take him just as seriously when he's downbeat on Democratic prospects as when he's upbeat. I realize interpretations of what he's getting at differ somewhat, but the bottom line is that we can't take people seriously only when they're saying things we want to hear. But as for whatever it is having to do with other states, I doubt that.
Absolutely, but Ralston hasn’t quite pointed out the doom and gloom that is reflected by some on here. While continuously pointing out that things are looking good for Republicans, he has also stated multiple times that the dynamics this year are so different that past analyses are not really comparable. Which is essentially him admitting his whole model may busted.
But at the same time, we really shouldn’t take people seriously when they’re selective in what things they listen to as well. The NV polls have been remarkably consistent showing a toss up. There has not been any last minute spending in the competitive House seats by either party that I’m aware of. We have multiple, pretty much daily now, polls showing that Harris is running significantly ahead of the party ID in already cast ballots. This may be bias, but if there is one party that looks like it is in panic mode to me, it sure ain’t the Democrats.
NV could be an outlier from other tossup states, though, and it's certainly conceivable that 3 House districts and a Senate campaign with a weak Republican candidate could diverge from presidential voting. No, I don't understand or relate to anyone who could vote for Trump and then vote against other Republican candidates whose election wouldn't result in any similar kind of extreme crisis for American democracy, but we know they exist.
My feeling is that since we always consider Ralston the best expert on what's actually happening in Nevada, we need to take him just as seriously when he's downbeat on Democratic prospects as when he's upbeat. I realize interpretations of what he's getting at differ somewhat, but the bottom line is that we can't take people seriously only when they're saying things we want to hear. But as for whatever it is having to do with other states, I doubt that.
He's worth listening to 80% of the time. In the leadup to elections, he's a typically hyperbolic reporter looking to get/keep people engaged.
Absolutely, but Ralston hasn’t quite pointed out the doom and gloom that is reflected by some on here. While continuously pointing out that things are looking good for Republicans, he has also stated multiple times that the dynamics this year are so different that past analyses are not really comparable. Which is essentially him admitting his whole model may busted.
But at the same time, we really shouldn’t take people seriously when they’re selective in what things they listen to as well. The NV polls have been remarkably consistent showing a toss up. There has not been any last minute spending in the competitive House seats by either party that I’m aware of. We have multiple, pretty much daily now, polls showing that Harris is running significantly ahead of the party ID in already cast ballots. This may be bias, but if there is one party that looks like it is in panic mode to me, it sure ain’t the Democrats.
NV could be an outlier from other tossup states, though, and it's certainly conceivable that 3 House districts and a Senate campaign with a weak Republican candidate could diverge from presidential voting. No, I don't understand or relate to anyone who could vote for Trump and then vote against other Republican candidates whose election wouldn't result in any similar kind of extreme crisis for American democracy, but we know they exist.