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IggySD's avatar

Absolutely, but Ralston hasn’t quite pointed out the doom and gloom that is reflected by some on here. While continuously pointing out that things are looking good for Republicans, he has also stated multiple times that the dynamics this year are so different that past analyses are not really comparable. Which is essentially him admitting his whole model may busted.

But at the same time, we really shouldn’t take people seriously when they’re selective in what things they listen to as well. The NV polls have been remarkably consistent showing a toss up. There has not been any last minute spending in the competitive House seats by either party that I’m aware of. We have multiple, pretty much daily now, polls showing that Harris is running significantly ahead of the party ID in already cast ballots. This may be bias, but if there is one party that looks like it is in panic mode to me, it sure ain’t the Democrats.

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michaelflutist's avatar

NV could be an outlier from other tossup states, though, and it's certainly conceivable that 3 House districts and a Senate campaign with a weak Republican candidate could diverge from presidential voting. No, I don't understand or relate to anyone who could vote for Trump and then vote against other Republican candidates whose election wouldn't result in any similar kind of extreme crisis for American democracy, but we know they exist.

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