The CT result is strange unless one believes in the theory of a rightward swing in the localized NYC area but not so much elsewhere (Prez race is tied; was Biden +11).
The CT result is strange unless one believes in the theory of a rightward swing in the localized NYC area but not so much elsewhere (Prez race is tied; was Biden +11).
The 2nd fits that label more cleanly; the 5th is a conglomeration of different communities. Diverse Waterbury, Danbury, Meriden, and New Britain comprise over 300k of its population, upscale Hartford burbs comprise another 100k, and moderate white NYC exurbs comprise another 200k. Even the white rural areas have another 20k that are a cultural and political extension of the Berkshires.
The CT result is strange unless one believes in the theory of a rightward swing in the localized NYC area but not so much elsewhere (Prez race is tied; was Biden +11).
CT05 she is facing the same opponent as she did in 2022 when she won by 1% and is a PVI d+3 district
But that's with a sample that has a margin 11 points worse than 2020 and 4 points worse than 2016, in a district that, if anything, is Dem-trending.
Is CT-5 not the most rural, WWC part of CT?
The 2nd fits that label more cleanly; the 5th is a conglomeration of different communities. Diverse Waterbury, Danbury, Meriden, and New Britain comprise over 300k of its population, upscale Hartford burbs comprise another 100k, and moderate white NYC exurbs comprise another 200k. Even the white rural areas have another 20k that are a cultural and political extension of the Berkshires.