The 2nd fits that label more cleanly; the 5th is a conglomeration of different communities. Diverse Waterbury, Danbury, Meriden, and New Britain comprise over 300k of its population, upscale Hartford burbs comprise another 100k, and moderate white NYC exurbs comprise another 200k. Even the white rural areas have another 20k that are a cultural and political extension of the Berkshires.
But that's with a sample that has a margin 11 points worse than 2020 and 4 points worse than 2016, in a district that, if anything, is Dem-trending.
Is CT-5 not the most rural, WWC part of CT?
The 2nd fits that label more cleanly; the 5th is a conglomeration of different communities. Diverse Waterbury, Danbury, Meriden, and New Britain comprise over 300k of its population, upscale Hartford burbs comprise another 100k, and moderate white NYC exurbs comprise another 200k. Even the white rural areas have another 20k that are a cultural and political extension of the Berkshires.