In most states I'd agree with you but in Nevada, shouldn't the Reid Machine be more effective in mobilizing their soldiers to the polls at more optimal times so as not to let the narrative slip away? Maybe they're playing rope-a-dope and holding off for an election day stampede to keep Republicans overconfident, but that seems a little f…
In most states I'd agree with you but in Nevada, shouldn't the Reid Machine be more effective in mobilizing their soldiers to the polls at more optimal times so as not to let the narrative slip away? Maybe they're playing rope-a-dope and holding off for an election day stampede to keep Republicans overconfident, but that seems a little far-fetched. It seems more likely that the machine has taken on some rust.
I don't know why people are so dismissive of your concern here. It's definitely possible that Harris still wins Nevada, it's not looking looking apocalyptic for Dems or anything, but it's definitely worrisome.
What keeps me a little optimistic for Nevada is that both parties cut spending for the House races, but still the EV vote doesn't look great.
The ad spending cuts for Lee and Horsford are especially baffling with this backdrop. Somebody must know something that those of us can't see from afar.
In politics, ALWAYS follow the money(if the Nevada collapse were a real thing, then the Republicans would not be the one doing the triage); in the Reid Machine, I Trust
I think in the end people are going to vote when and how they want to vote, regardless of what the machine tells them. There's such an obvious reason why Democrats voted super early in 2020 (and it wasn't to build a positive narrative). That reason is now gone, and we've got plenty of evidence that 2020 e-day Republicans are finally warming up to voting early. Ralston keeps drawing comparisons to 2014 but also the voter pool simply had a bigger Dem edge back then. The declining of which (and the massive increase in unaffiliated) is its own topic. Let's just see how this one goes and maybe in 2028 we can try to draw some apples to apples comparisons in NV early vote.
I don't really understand why anyone is pushing back against you for your point that the Democrats want people to vote early and they're not doing so in expected numbers in Nevada so far. Yes, maybe that will be mitigated by x, y and z, but it's clear evidence and the x, y and z are conjecture.
In most states I'd agree with you but in Nevada, shouldn't the Reid Machine be more effective in mobilizing their soldiers to the polls at more optimal times so as not to let the narrative slip away? Maybe they're playing rope-a-dope and holding off for an election day stampede to keep Republicans overconfident, but that seems a little far-fetched. It seems more likely that the machine has taken on some rust.
Maybe the Reid Machine doesn't give a crap about the "narrative" and only cares about the actual election results.
And maybe we should do the same.
They've given a crap about the narrative and banking early votes in the past but decided to take this year off?
I don't know why people are so dismissive of your concern here. It's definitely possible that Harris still wins Nevada, it's not looking looking apocalyptic for Dems or anything, but it's definitely worrisome.
What keeps me a little optimistic for Nevada is that both parties cut spending for the House races, but still the EV vote doesn't look great.
The ad spending cuts for Lee and Horsford are especially baffling with this backdrop. Somebody must know something that those of us can't see from afar.
It sure seems so.
Maybe the late ballot delivery in Clark (if that happened) is still having ramifications in the tea leaves we're reading?
In politics, ALWAYS follow the money(if the Nevada collapse were a real thing, then the Republicans would not be the one doing the triage); in the Reid Machine, I Trust
The money is usually right or turns into a self-fulfilling prophecy, but there are exceptions.
I think in the end people are going to vote when and how they want to vote, regardless of what the machine tells them. There's such an obvious reason why Democrats voted super early in 2020 (and it wasn't to build a positive narrative). That reason is now gone, and we've got plenty of evidence that 2020 e-day Republicans are finally warming up to voting early. Ralston keeps drawing comparisons to 2014 but also the voter pool simply had a bigger Dem edge back then. The declining of which (and the massive increase in unaffiliated) is its own topic. Let's just see how this one goes and maybe in 2028 we can try to draw some apples to apples comparisons in NV early vote.
I don't really understand why anyone is pushing back against you for your point that the Democrats want people to vote early and they're not doing so in expected numbers in Nevada so far. Yes, maybe that will be mitigated by x, y and z, but it's clear evidence and the x, y and z are conjecture.