I live in NY17 -- The history is that Sean Patrick Maloney who headed up the DNCC spent his time admiring what a great job he was doing and in fact paid little attention to the district. Then last time the dems ran Mondaire Jones -- who wasn't really from the district but with redistricting he ended up here -- had no contact with the Rockland, Putnam part of the district and was a poor fit for the district. So.... here we are and this time there are some VERY GOOD local candidates and much displeasure with Lawler "I'm the most bipartisan representative" but I vote like MTG. So he has a real chance of losing -- won't be surprised if he runs for governor seeing that his chances locally have just gotten much less promising. He's not stupid -- just corrupt (oh yeah he took several million from Elon for his last campaign that only recently came to light from FOIA requests.
Lawler has a better chance at winning reelection to the House than winning a general election for governor, but not by much IMO and the difference between the two offices makes it a no brainer. His problem is the primary, Stefanik would be the odds on favorite in a heads up race.
If Lawler win reelection to the house and sticks around for another year or so he becomes eligible for the congressional retirement fund. That would be one reason to stick around.
Any ideas as to who a strong Lawler opponent might be? The latest entrant (John Sullivan) seems interesting, but he only recently moved to the district after resigning from the FBI. I was hoping for a strong local elected official to run.
I expect Yost to write wildly misleading and distorted ballot summaries for qualified immunity and the Ohio Voters Bill of Rights that the board (controlled by Rs) will sign off on. That's what LaRose did with those ballot initiatives enshrining abortion (which still won) and independent redistricting (which failed).
Yep, and it was deliberately confusing enough that the "no" vote won. Had LaRose been forced to do an accurate summary, it would've gotten to a bare majority "yes".
LaRose and Yost are probably going to write something as misleading for the OH Voter Bill of Rights, probably something along the lines "shall this bill allow noncitizens to vote and make elections less secure?"
I remember reading a story from an Ohio Republican voter who voted "no" on it because it was deliberately confusing (he wanted to end the gerrymandering) -- just enough to throw off indies and moderate Rs who are tired of Matt Huffman running the state into the ground.
And yet under the current system Republicans still tried to gerrymander OH-01 and do devious things in the state legislature (which they did in the last few redistrictings) like connecting the city of Dayton to blood red rurals in totally different counties rather than the immediate suburbs in the same county to keep Dems from having a state senate and second state house seat there.
Whitmer's political career is just fine. She did what she had to for her state -- and that sometimes contacting and hanging out with the orange clown. She helped secure funding and jobs for her state.
It's reactive leftists like you that are the problem.
I am a leftist and I think she did fine. She got thousands of jobs with that project and Michigan's economy has generally performed well under her. However, she did not need to be so beholden to UAW and praise tariffs during the first meeting with Trump and then cover her face that too while Trump was signing orders to persecute his opponents. Buttigieg and Beshear for example have taken a balanced line on tariffs saying blanket tariffs don't work while some strategic tariffs like Biden's do. The tariff drama will haunt her.
Trump is pliable with flattery and such. I think the overreaction to Big Gretch working for the good of her state (not necessarily the MI Democratic Party) is not good for party unity.
No her political career is not fine if she has any ambitions, the little trip to the White House was one thing but warmly greeting Trump, laughing, smiling attending his rally? Get a grip girl!
Are people who expect something different to match the urgency of the times really the problem, or is it the people who are continuing on as if this were a normal presidency? Sounds like you, Whitmer, and Chuck Schumer are all on the same page.
How was my tone hostile? I believe people should demand Democrats do more to defy FDJT and Project 2025, but let's face it: things aren't black and white when you're a governor of a swing state.
You guys need to look at the bigger picture. Most people aren't going to be worried about Schumer voting for the CR during the summer when the dual whammy of Trumpflation and Trumpcession kick in. Let Republicans OWN their self-inflicted recession & get voted out for it.
Whitmer thumbing her nose at FDJT would be toxic for MI Democrats next year, especially if FDJT retaliated with more funding cuts to Michigan. It is important that Jocelyn Benson get elected to the governor's office and Dems regain a trifecta in MI next year. Whitmer not securing her state's economic security would give more ammo for MI Republicans.
I see her strategy and the logic for it: in order to get by in a Trump presidency, appeal to his ego, and you can get on his good side.
My own response to that is that even on its own terms, this can fail easily because of how capricious the man is. Sure he'll do something for Michican right now, but will this good will last for 4 years?
The bigger point is this, though: the party base right now really does not favor capitulating to Trump at all.
This is a misplaced critique. For the next year and 8 months, Republicans have a trifecta of the federal government. Talking shit about Trump may please the online base but as a Governor you have a primary responsibility to do what's best for the people of your state, and egging Trump on isn't part of that. Now of course there's a line to be drawn in terms of level of praise/cooperation with bad policy, but I haven't seen Whitmer cross that yet.
The expectation is the base can hold grudges against candidates long enough to 2028. But if she paints a strong picture of what a race would like with her against whoever the GOP nominee is, then she still has a chance. Until I see proof that the base gets serious about mobilizing and unseating incumbents in primaries, I think any declaration of her political obituary is premature. Democratic voters are pissed with their party but they sure as hell ain't sitting out elections.
Since the Liberals won a 4th term in Canada, is the era of anti-incumbent backlash coming to an end? Or was Canada just an exception to what will continue to be a politcally volitile period around the world? From my perspective, Canada was in a unique situation which helped the incumbent party - probably not a harbinger of anything. It will be interesting to see what happens in the Australian election this weekend though.
It was an election based on "change" and "strength". Singh was running in his third election after two disappointing previous results and spent the last few years propping up Trudeau's unpopular government only to let Trudeau leave on his own accord. Not a great look.
I get what you’re saying here, but Carney was acting Prime Minister after Trudeau stepped down and the Liberals chose him to lead the party, which was elected into power at the time (and still is). His first day in office he repealed the carbon tax, so technically he was the incumbent (just for a very short time period).
Right. Carney was the best possible candidate the Liberals could put forward, technically he was the incumbent, but he wasn't actually an MP and carried no personal baggage for Trudeau's decade in office (unlike Singh or potentially Freeland if she had been interim PM).
Even with that, the Liberals only won by eating the NDP vote while the Conservatives actually gained seats. Not exactly a resounding victory for the incumbent party.
I agree he was the best possible candidate and I’m kind of confused how you interpreted me arguing against any of that with what I wrote. You said Carney wasn’t the incumbent, he was and that’s what I took issue with as well as explaining the background of why he was the incumbent. You never specified MP in the post I responded to.
Trump's threats to Greenland didn't stop the two longstanding main parties from falling to 3rd and 4th in their parliament. So the rally round the flag doesn't always help the incumbents.
I think part of it was that Canadians saw Carney as more credible than Poilievre, but they also have a trend for incumbent parties to improve their standing once writs drop. This has been true in both federal and provincial elections there for some time.
Polling shows nonwhite voters disproportionately are swinging back toward Democrats in the generic ballot ahead of 2026, compared to their recalled 2024 vote choice.
A new Republican poll surveyed more than 1,000 likely voters in the general election in 2026 and found Allred, who lost to Cruz in 2024, was leading Paxton 52% to 37%. It didn't test other Democratic names.
Respondants favored Paxton over Cornyn in both Republican and Democratic internal polls by big margins.
This is also another clear piece of evidence that Ohio is still 10 points more Republican than the nation when comparing Trump's -10 average national approval and 2020-24 margins there.
That's even worse then; favorables should be worse than approval.
Ohio is cooked; I knew it when Republican congressional leaders in the state legislature had one of the biggest political scandals of the past 20 years and voters didn't penalize them one bit.
Not a bad place for Brown to be in a poll this early. Still shows that there might be some voter regret. Just like Iowa's congressional races and potentially the Governor's race there, we shouldn't write anything off. Including this race.
If Brown runs against him, he needs to paint Husted as the guy that voted to steal Social Security and Medicaid. Paint him as complicit with Elon's DOGE agenda and hammer him on it. Don't mention the orange clown, because Trump voters still like him but despise the South African.
As much as I like Sherrod, I doubt he wants to run for a two-year term in the Senate, after which he'd have to be on the ballot in a presidential year (again).
He and his wife just moved to Columbus to be closer to her job (and also to get away from dreadful Cleveland winters, I'm guessing). I'm sure there are plenty of cool things he can do there.
Normally, I'm a cynic about states like OH, but I do think it's elastic enough that Brown could possibly beat Ramaswamy in the type of year 2026 is shaping up to be. This would be best case scenario....
I really wish we could have two solid Democrats run in Texas in the same year for different offices. We seem to get one solid candidate at a time (Allred, Beto) for one race but not a whole ticket. We need a bench! Find someone to run for AG; for Land Commissioner; etc.
CO-08: Per the Colorado Sun, former Rep. Yadira Caraveo, who is running again, "twice appeared to attempt suicide in situations witnessed by staffers.” Her behavior while serving in Congress and running for reelection "was so frightening and traumatizing to staff that aides proposed a safety plan requesting that sharp objects be removed from [her] offices.” Apparently she tried to commit suicide in February 2024 at her home. A police office later wrote “that Caraveo said she had taken 19 sleeping pills and was drinking alcohol, and that she said something to the effect of 'this will put me to sleep for awhile.’” The story has much more, including about mistreatment of staff members. https://coloradosun.com/2025/05/01/yadira-caraveo-staff-mistreatment-allegations-colorado/
This information is far worse than we knew when there was a recent discussion here of her suffering from depression. I was a big supporter of Caraveo’s two congressional campaigns and I wish her well, but it is hard to see her as our best candidate in 2026. She is running again but the DCCC “is not actively supporting her bid.”
Yeah, that sounds like a real political problem. Even if her mental health has improved. Wonder why she would want to expose herself to the pressure of a campaign and holding office.
"The former staffers spoke to The Sun on the condition of anonymity because they said they fear retaliation. They shared contemporaneous messages and documents corroborating their stories and revealing a chaotic and hostile work environment that they say took a major toll personally and professionally.
While all four said they were highly sympathetic to Caraveo’s mental health issues, they said the way she treated them as a result was not OK.
“It’s completely fine to struggle with mental illness,” another former staffer said. “But it is one thing to struggle with mental illness and it’s another thing to weaponize it.”
Yeah I wish her all the best and maybe down the line she can make a comeback bid for public office but this is too much too soon.
GA-Gov,Sen: I have a feeling Raffensberger might lean more towards running for Governor if he decides to jump in. But like Kemp, the big question for him is does risk giving up crossover support to appeal to Trump? We’ll see.
Even if Kemp did jump in, in this environment that kind of a narrow lead would be easily erased. Any Republican is still a Republican at the end of the day and Governors don't have a great track record in Senate races and Ossoff is amazing!! 💙🇺🇲
Quebec - Terrebonne, a very close race between the Liberals and Bloc that saw the Liberals narrowly ahead after the election has flipped back to the Bloc after the validation
Liberal seat count is 168, while the Bloc finishes at 23.
Labour's defeat in Runcorn was entirely avoidable - and is the direct result of the party
leadership's political choices. By pushing policies like cuts to disability benefits and scrapping the winter fuel allowance, the leadership is driving away our own voters - and
letting Reform squeeze through. The Labour leadership must urgently change course and govern with real Labour values
I live in NY17 -- The history is that Sean Patrick Maloney who headed up the DNCC spent his time admiring what a great job he was doing and in fact paid little attention to the district. Then last time the dems ran Mondaire Jones -- who wasn't really from the district but with redistricting he ended up here -- had no contact with the Rockland, Putnam part of the district and was a poor fit for the district. So.... here we are and this time there are some VERY GOOD local candidates and much displeasure with Lawler "I'm the most bipartisan representative" but I vote like MTG. So he has a real chance of losing -- won't be surprised if he runs for governor seeing that his chances locally have just gotten much less promising. He's not stupid -- just corrupt (oh yeah he took several million from Elon for his last campaign that only recently came to light from FOIA requests.
Lawler has a better chance at winning reelection to the House than winning a general election for governor, but not by much IMO and the difference between the two offices makes it a no brainer. His problem is the primary, Stefanik would be the odds on favorite in a heads up race.
If Lawler win reelection to the house and sticks around for another year or so he becomes eligible for the congressional retirement fund. That would be one reason to stick around.
Or he could be Governor of New York. I kind of feel like those people aren't too worried about their retirement fund.
Yeah that retirement after 5 years is only like $10k a year once he turns 62.
Any ideas as to who a strong Lawler opponent might be? The latest entrant (John Sullivan) seems interesting, but he only recently moved to the district after resigning from the FBI. I was hoping for a strong local elected official to run.
Jones was from Rockland and an elected official there.
I expect Yost to write wildly misleading and distorted ballot summaries for qualified immunity and the Ohio Voters Bill of Rights that the board (controlled by Rs) will sign off on. That's what LaRose did with those ballot initiatives enshrining abortion (which still won) and independent redistricting (which failed).
The independent redistricting one insinuated that it would "gerrymander" the state.
Yep, and it was deliberately confusing enough that the "no" vote won. Had LaRose been forced to do an accurate summary, it would've gotten to a bare majority "yes".
LaRose and Yost are probably going to write something as misleading for the OH Voter Bill of Rights, probably something along the lines "shall this bill allow noncitizens to vote and make elections less secure?"
The redistricting one was polarized on partisan lines. It doesn’t seem like it got a lot of Democratic votes against it.
I remember reading a story from an Ohio Republican voter who voted "no" on it because it was deliberately confusing (he wanted to end the gerrymandering) -- just enough to throw off indies and moderate Rs who are tired of Matt Huffman running the state into the ground.
And yet under the current system Republicans still tried to gerrymander OH-01 and do devious things in the state legislature (which they did in the last few redistrictings) like connecting the city of Dayton to blood red rurals in totally different counties rather than the immediate suburbs in the same county to keep Dems from having a state senate and second state house seat there.
Gretchen Whitmer decided to end her political career yesterday, but it was probably already dead anyway.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/5/1/2319781/-Michigan-governor-cozies-up-to-Trump-and-kills-her-credibility?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=top_news_slot_1&pm_medium=web
Whitmer's political career is just fine. She did what she had to for her state -- and that sometimes contacting and hanging out with the orange clown. She helped secure funding and jobs for her state.
It's reactive leftists like you that are the problem.
I am a leftist and I think she did fine. She got thousands of jobs with that project and Michigan's economy has generally performed well under her. However, she did not need to be so beholden to UAW and praise tariffs during the first meeting with Trump and then cover her face that too while Trump was signing orders to persecute his opponents. Buttigieg and Beshear for example have taken a balanced line on tariffs saying blanket tariffs don't work while some strategic tariffs like Biden's do. The tariff drama will haunt her.
Trump is pliable with flattery and such. I think the overreaction to Big Gretch working for the good of her state (not necessarily the MI Democratic Party) is not good for party unity.
Sorry but I don't think she can recover from the image of hiding behind those folders....at least not running in a 20-candidate national field.
No her political career is not fine if she has any ambitions, the little trip to the White House was one thing but warmly greeting Trump, laughing, smiling attending his rally? Get a grip girl!
She is not the Governor of Colorado or Illinois. Michigan is a swing state and until recently, was in economics malaise.
That's fine if she wants to kiss Trumps ass, but the question was about her political career, it won't help
Don’t forget that Whitmer was target of the attempted assassination by rapid Trump supporters.
Your hostile tone is completely unnecessary.
Are people who expect something different to match the urgency of the times really the problem, or is it the people who are continuing on as if this were a normal presidency? Sounds like you, Whitmer, and Chuck Schumer are all on the same page.
How was my tone hostile? I believe people should demand Democrats do more to defy FDJT and Project 2025, but let's face it: things aren't black and white when you're a governor of a swing state.
You guys need to look at the bigger picture. Most people aren't going to be worried about Schumer voting for the CR during the summer when the dual whammy of Trumpflation and Trumpcession kick in. Let Republicans OWN their self-inflicted recession & get voted out for it.
Whitmer thumbing her nose at FDJT would be toxic for MI Democrats next year, especially if FDJT retaliated with more funding cuts to Michigan. It is important that Jocelyn Benson get elected to the governor's office and Dems regain a trifecta in MI next year. Whitmer not securing her state's economic security would give more ammo for MI Republicans.
I see her strategy and the logic for it: in order to get by in a Trump presidency, appeal to his ego, and you can get on his good side.
My own response to that is that even on its own terms, this can fail easily because of how capricious the man is. Sure he'll do something for Michican right now, but will this good will last for 4 years?
The bigger point is this, though: the party base right now really does not favor capitulating to Trump at all.
Emphasis on "right now". If she could run for a third term, I don't think she would be greeting him or visited the White House.
Governors shouldn't be exclusively concerned about the party base.
This is a misplaced critique. For the next year and 8 months, Republicans have a trifecta of the federal government. Talking shit about Trump may please the online base but as a Governor you have a primary responsibility to do what's best for the people of your state, and egging Trump on isn't part of that. Now of course there's a line to be drawn in terms of level of praise/cooperation with bad policy, but I haven't seen Whitmer cross that yet.
The expectation is the base can hold grudges against candidates long enough to 2028. But if she paints a strong picture of what a race would like with her against whoever the GOP nominee is, then she still has a chance. Until I see proof that the base gets serious about mobilizing and unseating incumbents in primaries, I think any declaration of her political obituary is premature. Democratic voters are pissed with their party but they sure as hell ain't sitting out elections.
The only reason I don't hold Scott Jennings (pfft!) in complete contempt is that I would have to take him seriously in order to do that.
He's one of the most obnoxious people on CNN—and that's a HIGH bar to clear!
Luckily, I turned that trash off for good after the 2022 Red Ketchup Stain election.
Since the Liberals won a 4th term in Canada, is the era of anti-incumbent backlash coming to an end? Or was Canada just an exception to what will continue to be a politcally volitile period around the world? From my perspective, Canada was in a unique situation which helped the incumbent party - probably not a harbinger of anything. It will be interesting to see what happens in the Australian election this weekend though.
Except Carney wasn't the incumbent. In fact, the longest serving leader on the debate stage saw his party utterly collapse.
Huh, an interesting take. Since Trudeau was out of the picture, Singh got the anti incumbent treats!
It was an election based on "change" and "strength". Singh was running in his third election after two disappointing previous results and spent the last few years propping up Trudeau's unpopular government only to let Trudeau leave on his own accord. Not a great look.
I get what you’re saying here, but Carney was acting Prime Minister after Trudeau stepped down and the Liberals chose him to lead the party, which was elected into power at the time (and still is). His first day in office he repealed the carbon tax, so technically he was the incumbent (just for a very short time period).
Right. Carney was the best possible candidate the Liberals could put forward, technically he was the incumbent, but he wasn't actually an MP and carried no personal baggage for Trudeau's decade in office (unlike Singh or potentially Freeland if she had been interim PM).
Even with that, the Liberals only won by eating the NDP vote while the Conservatives actually gained seats. Not exactly a resounding victory for the incumbent party.
I agree he was the best possible candidate and I’m kind of confused how you interpreted me arguing against any of that with what I wrote. You said Carney wasn’t the incumbent, he was and that’s what I took issue with as well as explaining the background of why he was the incumbent. You never specified MP in the post I responded to.
I didn't feel the need to put all of the caveats and context into my comment because the people who read these threads are already well aware of them.
Trump's threats to Greenland didn't stop the two longstanding main parties from falling to 3rd and 4th in their parliament. So the rally round the flag doesn't always help the incumbents.
I think part of it was that Canadians saw Carney as more credible than Poilievre, but they also have a trend for incumbent parties to improve their standing once writs drop. This has been true in both federal and provincial elections there for some time.
DecisionDeskHQ/NewsNation
Polling shows nonwhite voters disproportionately are swinging back toward Democrats in the generic ballot ahead of 2026, compared to their recalled 2024 vote choice.
https://x.com/ZacharyDonnini/status/1917677841149485238
A new Republican poll surveyed more than 1,000 likely voters in the general election in 2026 and found Allred, who lost to Cruz in 2024, was leading Paxton 52% to 37%. It didn't test other Democratic names.
Respondants favored Paxton over Cornyn in both Republican and Democratic internal polls by big margins.
https://www.houstonchronicle.com/politics/texas/article/john-cornyn-ken-paxton-polls-20302958.php
"When Texas turns blue, America changes for a generation." - AOC
BGSU/YouGov poll | 4/18-4/24 RV
Ohio Senate
🟥Jon Husted 49%
🟦Sherrod Brown 46%
🟥Jon Husted 50%
🟦Tim Ryan 44%
Favorables (Ohio)
Donald Trump (49/48 unfavorable)
JD Vance (47/46 favorable)
Sherrod Brown (43/41 favorable)
Bernie Moreno (44/41 unfavorable)
Jon Husted (28/25 unfavorable)
Yeah, Ohio and Iowa aren't turning purple anytime soon without white working class voters leaving the GOP.
https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/1917749554377580975
This is also another clear piece of evidence that Ohio is still 10 points more Republican than the nation when comparing Trump's -10 average national approval and 2020-24 margins there.
Those are favorables not job approval numbers.
Not much difference those polls.
That's even worse then; favorables should be worse than approval.
Ohio is cooked; I knew it when Republican congressional leaders in the state legislature had one of the biggest political scandals of the past 20 years and voters didn't penalize them one bit.
Not a bad place for Brown to be in a poll this early. Still shows that there might be some voter regret. Just like Iowa's congressional races and potentially the Governor's race there, we shouldn't write anything off. Including this race.
Interesting how unknown Husted is compared to the others. It seems like a good time to start defining him.
If Brown runs against him, he needs to paint Husted as the guy that voted to steal Social Security and Medicaid. Paint him as complicit with Elon's DOGE agenda and hammer him on it. Don't mention the orange clown, because Trump voters still like him but despise the South African.
Right now Ohio state government is a nightmare. Comparable to the worst of the southern states.
https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2025/04/30/ohio-university-to-close-pride-center-womens-center-and-multicultural-center-due-to-new-law/
I just read David Pepper's book "Laboratories of Autocracy," which is a great deep-dive into the utterly-fucked politics of Ohio.
Sherrod isn't running for Senate. Don't think Ryan is either
As much as I like Sherrod, I doubt he wants to run for a two-year term in the Senate, after which he'd have to be on the ballot in a presidential year (again).
He and his wife just moved to Columbus to be closer to her job (and also to get away from dreadful Cleveland winters, I'm guessing). I'm sure there are plenty of cool things he can do there.
I believe he is seriously considering Govenor
If the GOP nominee is the absolutely-insufferable Vivek Ramaswamy*, I actually think Sherrod would have a chance.
*Seriously, how can ANYONE stand listening to this guy for more than, like, three seconds?
Normally, I'm a cynic about states like OH, but I do think it's elastic enough that Brown could possibly beat Ramaswamy in the type of year 2026 is shaping up to be. This would be best case scenario....
Poll source Date(s)
administered Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Vivek
Ramaswamy (R) Tim
Ryan (D) Other Undecided
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[27][28] April 18–24, 2025 800 (RV) ± 4.1% 51% 44% 5%[j] –
Public Policy Polling (D)[43][D] February 19–20, 2025 642 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 42% – 10%
Similar leads against Amy Acton. Both of them would not be good candidates.
Paxton is dreadful but Cornyn votes the same way. So give me Paxton in the general.
Yeah if Dem billionaires like Hoffman, Gates still care about anything, they should fund Paxton just like they did to Kari Lake in 2022.
I really wish we could have two solid Democrats run in Texas in the same year for different offices. We seem to get one solid candidate at a time (Allred, Beto) for one race but not a whole ticket. We need a bench! Find someone to run for AG; for Land Commissioner; etc.
https://x.com/admcrlsn/status/1917647162193719688
Difference among different groups.
Based on polls from April, Trump’s net job disapproval is ~6 pts higher than Dems’ lead in the 2026 generic ballot.
CO-08: Per the Colorado Sun, former Rep. Yadira Caraveo, who is running again, "twice appeared to attempt suicide in situations witnessed by staffers.” Her behavior while serving in Congress and running for reelection "was so frightening and traumatizing to staff that aides proposed a safety plan requesting that sharp objects be removed from [her] offices.” Apparently she tried to commit suicide in February 2024 at her home. A police office later wrote “that Caraveo said she had taken 19 sleeping pills and was drinking alcohol, and that she said something to the effect of 'this will put me to sleep for awhile.’” The story has much more, including about mistreatment of staff members. https://coloradosun.com/2025/05/01/yadira-caraveo-staff-mistreatment-allegations-colorado/
This information is far worse than we knew when there was a recent discussion here of her suffering from depression. I was a big supporter of Caraveo’s two congressional campaigns and I wish her well, but it is hard to see her as our best candidate in 2026. She is running again but the DCCC “is not actively supporting her bid.”
Yeah, that sounds like a real political problem. Even if her mental health has improved. Wonder why she would want to expose herself to the pressure of a campaign and holding office.
"The former staffers spoke to The Sun on the condition of anonymity because they said they fear retaliation. They shared contemporaneous messages and documents corroborating their stories and revealing a chaotic and hostile work environment that they say took a major toll personally and professionally.
While all four said they were highly sympathetic to Caraveo’s mental health issues, they said the way she treated them as a result was not OK.
“It’s completely fine to struggle with mental illness,” another former staffer said. “But it is one thing to struggle with mental illness and it’s another thing to weaponize it.”
Yeah I wish her all the best and maybe down the line she can make a comeback bid for public office but this is too much too soon.
GA-Gov,Sen: I have a feeling Raffensberger might lean more towards running for Governor if he decides to jump in. But like Kemp, the big question for him is does risk giving up crossover support to appeal to Trump? We’ll see.
GA Senate poll from the AJC:
Kemp 49-46
Ossoff 48 Rassenberger 39
Ossoff 54 Taylor-Greene 37
Ossoff 51 King 38
Even if Kemp did jump in, in this environment that kind of a narrow lead would be easily erased. Any Republican is still a Republican at the end of the day and Governors don't have a great track record in Senate races and Ossoff is amazing!! 💙🇺🇲
Quite telling about the GOP that MTG is as liked at two other two.
Canadian election:
Quebec - Terrebonne, a very close race between the Liberals and Bloc that saw the Liberals narrowly ahead after the election has flipped back to the Bloc after the validation
Liberal seat count is 168, while the Bloc finishes at 23.
UK: Labour loses a seat to Reform it had won by nearly 15,000 a year ago.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/may/02/reform-runcorn-and-helsby-byelection-local-elections
A Labour MP reacts:
Labour's defeat in Runcorn was entirely avoidable - and is the direct result of the party
leadership's political choices. By pushing policies like cuts to disability benefits and scrapping the winter fuel allowance, the leadership is driving away our own voters - and
letting Reform squeeze through. The Labour leadership must urgently change course and govern with real Labour values
https://bsky.app/profile/richardburgon.bsky.social/post/3lo6ice7bj223