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PollJunkie's avatar

BGSU/YouGov poll | 4/18-4/24 RV

Ohio Senate

🟥Jon Husted 49%

🟦Sherrod Brown 46%

🟥Jon Husted 50%

🟦Tim Ryan 44%

Favorables (Ohio)

Donald Trump (49/48 unfavorable)

JD Vance (47/46 favorable)

Sherrod Brown (43/41 favorable)

Bernie Moreno (44/41 unfavorable)

Jon Husted (28/25 unfavorable)

Yeah, Ohio and Iowa aren't turning purple anytime soon without white working class voters leaving the GOP.

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/1917749554377580975

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PollJunkie's avatar

This is also another clear piece of evidence that Ohio is still 10 points more Republican than the nation when comparing Trump's -10 average national approval and 2020-24 margins there.

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Paleo's avatar

Those are favorables not job approval numbers.

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PollJunkie's avatar

Not much difference those polls.

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Toiler On the Sea's avatar

That's even worse then; favorables should be worse than approval.

Ohio is cooked; I knew it when Republican congressional leaders in the state legislature had one of the biggest political scandals of the past 20 years and voters didn't penalize them one bit.

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Samuel Sero's avatar

Not a bad place for Brown to be in a poll this early. Still shows that there might be some voter regret. Just like Iowa's congressional races and potentially the Governor's race there, we shouldn't write anything off. Including this race.

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hilltopper's avatar

Interesting how unknown Husted is compared to the others. It seems like a good time to start defining him.

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MPC's avatar

If Brown runs against him, he needs to paint Husted as the guy that voted to steal Social Security and Medicaid. Paint him as complicit with Elon's DOGE agenda and hammer him on it. Don't mention the orange clown, because Trump voters still like him but despise the South African.

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Paleo's avatar

Right now Ohio state government is a nightmare. Comparable to the worst of the southern states.

https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2025/04/30/ohio-university-to-close-pride-center-womens-center-and-multicultural-center-due-to-new-law/

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Brad Warren's avatar

I just read David Pepper's book "Laboratories of Autocracy," which is a great deep-dive into the utterly-fucked politics of Ohio.

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AnthonySF's avatar

Sherrod isn't running for Senate. Don't think Ryan is either

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Brad Warren's avatar

As much as I like Sherrod, I doubt he wants to run for a two-year term in the Senate, after which he'd have to be on the ballot in a presidential year (again).

He and his wife just moved to Columbus to be closer to her job (and also to get away from dreadful Cleveland winters, I'm guessing). I'm sure there are plenty of cool things he can do there.

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AnthonySF's avatar

I believe he is seriously considering Govenor

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Brad Warren's avatar

If the GOP nominee is the absolutely-insufferable Vivek Ramaswamy*, I actually think Sherrod would have a chance.

*Seriously, how can ANYONE stand listening to this guy for more than, like, three seconds?

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stevk's avatar

Normally, I'm a cynic about states like OH, but I do think it's elastic enough that Brown could possibly beat Ramaswamy in the type of year 2026 is shaping up to be. This would be best case scenario....

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Brad Warren's avatar

The Western Reserve (outside of Cuyahoga and Summit counties) going MAGA was a huge blow to our competitiveness in Ohio.

That said, if anyone could whiff a statewide race there, it's Ramaswamy. Jim Tressel (who I also can't stand, but at least he's just a standard overrated doofus in the DeWine/Kasich mold) waited too long to run.

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PollJunkie's avatar

Poll source Date(s)

administered Sample

size[a] Margin

of error Vivek

Ramaswamy (R) Tim

Ryan (D) Other Undecided

Bowling Green State University/YouGov[27][28] April 18–24, 2025 800 (RV) ± 4.1% 51% 44% 5%[j] –

Public Policy Polling (D)[43][D] February 19–20, 2025 642 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 42% – 10%

Similar leads against Amy Acton. Both of them would not be good candidates.

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