National polls: ABC has Harris +3... in an R+1 national sample. NBC has a tie... in what is, somehow, an R+4 national sample (including leaners - 45-41 R with leaners, 34-33 R without). Both have Harris with mid-to-high single digit leads among independents.
National polls: ABC has Harris +3... in an R+1 national sample. NBC has a tie... in what is, somehow, an R+4 national sample (including leaners - 45-41 R with leaners, 34-33 R without). Both have Harris with mid-to-high single digit leads among independents.
Polls are showing Harris winning the already voted (crosstabs, I know I know) by margins well ahead of what you'd extrapolate from the actual confirmed pools of people who have voted already. Either it's all crosstab nonsense or Harris is actually getting the splits with independents and Haley Republicans she needs to win solidly on Tuesday.
National polls: ABC has Harris +3... in an R+1 national sample. NBC has a tie... in what is, somehow, an R+4 national sample (including leaners - 45-41 R with leaners, 34-33 R without). Both have Harris with mid-to-high single digit leads among independents.
At some point this gets absurd.
Polls are showing Harris winning the already voted (crosstabs, I know I know) by margins well ahead of what you'd extrapolate from the actual confirmed pools of people who have voted already. Either it's all crosstab nonsense or Harris is actually getting the splits with independents and Haley Republicans she needs to win solidly on Tuesday.
Which explains selzer
It has been absurd for a long time!!
There is literally nothing pointing to an R+ electorate. The NBC poll assumes this will be the most red leaning electorate since 2014? Based on what?