The regional cross tabs mirror what I consider to be our path to victory in Pennsylvania: running up the score in Allegheny (67-31) while closing the gap in South Central PA (47-50) to compensate for slippage in Philly (77-20) and a clear loss in the West (39-56).
Kamala should also do much better than reported for the Philly suburbs (53-…
The regional cross tabs mirror what I consider to be our path to victory in Pennsylvania: running up the score in Allegheny (67-31) while closing the gap in South Central PA (47-50) to compensate for slippage in Philly (77-20) and a clear loss in the West (39-56).
Kamala should also do much better than reported for the Philly suburbs (53-43), assuming that includes Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery. She'll win the latter three by a minimum 15 (more likely a minimum 20, possibly 30+ in DelCo and MontCo) while winning Bucks by +/- 5.
Definitely still a toss-up for sure, but considering the EV trends and polling from non-partisan sources, I'd rather be us.
I hope you're right, and you very well could be. In 2020, Hispanic neighborhoods in North Philly shifted noticeably right; my worry is they'll continue to slip this election, too. The Philly early vote is also lagging other Dem counties. Fingers crossed for a strong showing on election day.
She should do better. That’s why Trump is going after his own territory so hard bc it’s his best way of countering suburban/exurban areas growing more tired of him.
The regional cross tabs mirror what I consider to be our path to victory in Pennsylvania: running up the score in Allegheny (67-31) while closing the gap in South Central PA (47-50) to compensate for slippage in Philly (77-20) and a clear loss in the West (39-56).
Kamala should also do much better than reported for the Philly suburbs (53-43), assuming that includes Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery. She'll win the latter three by a minimum 15 (more likely a minimum 20, possibly 30+ in DelCo and MontCo) while winning Bucks by +/- 5.
Definitely still a toss-up for sure, but considering the EV trends and polling from non-partisan sources, I'd rather be us.
I'm not convinced of any slippage in Philly(Imo running up the raw margin in philly is attainable)
I hope you're right, and you very well could be. In 2020, Hispanic neighborhoods in North Philly shifted noticeably right; my worry is they'll continue to slip this election, too. The Philly early vote is also lagging other Dem counties. Fingers crossed for a strong showing on election day.
She should do better. That’s why Trump is going after his own territory so hard bc it’s his best way of countering suburban/exurban areas growing more tired of him.
Agreed