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Here's the question I keep coming back to. In how many states did the Republicans do better in 2012 than in 2010? As far as I can remember, the answer is very few, if any.
It's why my predictions are still these: 270towin.com/maps/07k6W. Only maybe 30-40% of this is based on polls - the rest is fundamentals, previous election results, fun…
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Here's the question I keep coming back to. In how many states did the Republicans do better in 2012 than in 2010? As far as I can remember, the answer is very few, if any.
It's why my predictions are still these: https://www.270towin.com/maps/07k6W. Only maybe 30-40% of this is based on polls - the rest is fundamentals, previous election results, fundraising/ground game, etc. (meaning that these predictions are very unlikely to change before the election). It's really hard for me to see how Dems can do so well in MI/PA in 2022, despite low urban and minority turnout, and yet somehow lose those states this year when Democratic turnout will be much higher.
Go out on a limb! Do you think KH will win any of the 3: AZ, GA, NC? Even WSJ/Murdoch pollster has KH winning with 278 EVs!
Imo AZ>GA>NC
I suspect Arizona will be so close that we won't know election night, and possibly for several days after. I suspect Arizona could see violence.
I think the violence might depend somewhat on the outcomes in the other battlegrounds
Mark me down for all 3.
That is crazy - he will give the Ukraine to Putin (leading to more offensive attacks by him; he will let Netanyahu annihilate the Palestinians in Gaza . Neither of these paths will lead to peace. They will encourage strong men to attack the vulnerable.
They don't think so because "wars didn't happen when he was President."
Except that we were still at war in Afghanistan.
They don't blame Orange Slob for that. If anything it was "inherited from Obama."