12 Comments
User's avatar
тна Return to thread
ProudNewEnglander's avatar

Not sure why you think third parties will get 2-3% of the vote - the number of "double haters", who are the ones most likely to vote third party, has dropped dramatically since Biden dropped out and Harris replaced him. I think 2% is the absolute ceiling for third-party votes this year, and I'm expecting closer to 1%.

Expand full comment
Jonathan's avatar

Just going by past couple of presidential elections; I am hoping that you are correct; imo the lower that number is, the better for Harris

Expand full comment
Jonathan's avatar

By the way, what are your numbers??

Expand full comment
ProudNewEnglander's avatar

?? My numbers for what?

Expand full comment
Jonathan's avatar

The post ??

Expand full comment
ProudNewEnglander's avatar

You're going to need to be a lot more specific, because I have no idea what you're talking about.

Expand full comment
Jonathan's avatar

Your predictions?

Expand full comment
Jonathan's avatar

Do you believe that Trump will win the popular vote? If so, why? The post

Expand full comment
ProudNewEnglander's avatar

Not sure what post you're talking about, but no, I think it's very unlikely that Trump wins the popular vote. If he couldn't do it in 2016 or 2020, I really don't see how he could possibly do it this time.

Expand full comment
Jonathan's avatar

Do you have a prediction?

Expand full comment
ProudNewEnglander's avatar

Right now, I'm honestly thinking Harris 52, Trump 47.

Expand full comment
Jonathan's avatar

Damn close to mine own

Expand full comment