I think Cava, Pizzo, and Graham should split the Gubernatorial and next two Senate elections between them. If David Jolly wants to run as an independent I guess that's fine but he doesn't strike me as stronger than the other three. I know we're all down on Florida, but we just don't have the option to not seriously contest a bunch of sta…
I think Cava, Pizzo, and Graham should split the Gubernatorial and next two Senate elections between them. If David Jolly wants to run as an independent I guess that's fine but he doesn't strike me as stronger than the other three. I know we're all down on Florida, but we just don't have the option to not seriously contest a bunch of states that Trump won by 10+ points because he won 24 of them by that amount. It's impossible to count to 51 in the Senate without running A tier candidates in places like Texas, Florida, Iowa, and Ohio every single cycle and hoping we win one out of every 8 races or whatever.
But I don’t think it matters. If you use James definition of 50/50 in a D wave, I don’t think any D candidate is viable at this moment. Things may change though.
His congressional voting record is pretty standard-issue conservative, if possible I'd rather someone like Gwen Graham run for the Senate since she's probably a more reliable vote and I don't think Jolly has any electability value over her or Cava.
I think Cava, Pizzo, and Graham should split the Gubernatorial and next two Senate elections between them. If David Jolly wants to run as an independent I guess that's fine but he doesn't strike me as stronger than the other three. I know we're all down on Florida, but we just don't have the option to not seriously contest a bunch of states that Trump won by 10+ points because he won 24 of them by that amount. It's impossible to count to 51 in the Senate without running A tier candidates in places like Texas, Florida, Iowa, and Ohio every single cycle and hoping we win one out of every 8 races or whatever.
Question: David Jolly is a registered Democrat. Would he be a viable Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Florida?
What do you mean by "viable"? What percentage chance of winning?
I would say about 50/50 in a strong Democratic year would be seen as "viable."
By "viable" I mean at least as strong as other possible Dem candidates.
As strong as any other candidate, probably.
But I don’t think it matters. If you use James definition of 50/50 in a D wave, I don’t think any D candidate is viable at this moment. Things may change though.
What do you think of Jolly running for Senate instead of governor?
I don’t know enough to have an informed opinion, hence my question.
His congressional voting record is pretty standard-issue conservative, if possible I'd rather someone like Gwen Graham run for the Senate since she's probably a more reliable vote and I don't think Jolly has any electability value over her or Cava.
Jolly would probably lose a primary at this point-his best chance of getting elected to anything in the future is as an Independent.