That's a sort of apples to (Florida) oranges comparison, as neither of those years featured a Republican presidential incumbent and both had GOP incumbents running for governor and senator. 2018 with its open gubernatorial race and Trump in the WH might be more valid, though that's not too encouraging here either as (IIRC) Andrew Gillum …
That's a sort of apples to (Florida) oranges comparison, as neither of those years featured a Republican presidential incumbent and both had GOP incumbents running for governor and senator. 2018 with its open gubernatorial race and Trump in the WH might be more valid, though that's not too encouraging here either as (IIRC) Andrew Gillum led in most though not all fall polling. (I still maintain that his nomination was one of the biggest recent self-owns by any state's Democrats.)
A lot of undecideds so this may have potential, though I'd certainly understand if Dems decide that Florida really isn't worth the effort and cost in light of recent electoral history, apart from some congressional and legislative races. This shows Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava as the Democratic frontrunner for governor; is she actually running?
2020 electorate also was the same as 2018, just Trump pulled his single issue maga voters out to vote. Florida Dems ran the worst perennial, vote missing, candidate possible in 2022 which led to a very bad turnout and DeSantis' libertarian COVID policy proved very popular among Latino workers and small businesses in Florida.
Florida was a top destination for illegal immigration as well as affected a lot by the post covid inflation. This along with Ron's popularity easily explains 2024. Venezuelans, Nicaraguans, Columbians and Puerto Ricans in Florida all voted for Democrats till 2020. Yeah more conservatives than liberals did migrate but older retirees pass away and Florida is more urbanized and diverse now. I believe Texas and Florida with Trump's unpopularity among Independents, young voters, Latinos and other minorities will be 2018 redux in 2026 with the races going either way.
Gillum’s primary win was irritating at first but then the polls made us look in a real good position to win. And then back to being mad. I get that FL is a big state but I would’ve hoped Gwen Graham’s ability to win in a red district would’ve resonated better. Instead, it seemed more like a hindrance and she wasn’t from the main Dem bases in the other major cities.
The problem in 2018 was Dems just having too many candidates running in the primary, which allowed Gillum to win the primary with just 34% of the vote. This is one instance where a runoff would have been helpful.
They had some rich guy Jeff Greene running and he self-funded his campaign. He went scorched earth on Graham and Gillum came out of nowhere to win. Gillum turned out to be a terrible candidate with serious ethical problems who cost us the race and did us no favors in the Senate race as well.
Gillum’s subsequent arrest in a Miami hotel room with drugs and another man was disastrous for the FDP and the party still hasn’t recovered from that. I was fortunate to see Gillum speak in person twice and he definitely gave off Obama vibes.But he had personal problems and never should have put himself out there as the face of the party. Plus he was dogged by an FBI “investigation” into his alleged illegal purchase of “Hamilton” tickets from a lobbyist. Pure BS but the GOP and press brought it up constantly.
That's a sort of apples to (Florida) oranges comparison, as neither of those years featured a Republican presidential incumbent and both had GOP incumbents running for governor and senator. 2018 with its open gubernatorial race and Trump in the WH might be more valid, though that's not too encouraging here either as (IIRC) Andrew Gillum led in most though not all fall polling. (I still maintain that his nomination was one of the biggest recent self-owns by any state's Democrats.)
A lot of undecideds so this may have potential, though I'd certainly understand if Dems decide that Florida really isn't worth the effort and cost in light of recent electoral history, apart from some congressional and legislative races. This shows Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava as the Democratic frontrunner for governor; is she actually running?
2018 electorate no longer exists today.
2020 electorate also was the same as 2018, just Trump pulled his single issue maga voters out to vote. Florida Dems ran the worst perennial, vote missing, candidate possible in 2022 which led to a very bad turnout and DeSantis' libertarian COVID policy proved very popular among Latino workers and small businesses in Florida.
Florida was a top destination for illegal immigration as well as affected a lot by the post covid inflation. This along with Ron's popularity easily explains 2024. Venezuelans, Nicaraguans, Columbians and Puerto Ricans in Florida all voted for Democrats till 2020. Yeah more conservatives than liberals did migrate but older retirees pass away and Florida is more urbanized and diverse now. I believe Texas and Florida with Trump's unpopularity among Independents, young voters, Latinos and other minorities will be 2018 redux in 2026 with the races going either way.
Gillum’s primary win was irritating at first but then the polls made us look in a real good position to win. And then back to being mad. I get that FL is a big state but I would’ve hoped Gwen Graham’s ability to win in a red district would’ve resonated better. Instead, it seemed more like a hindrance and she wasn’t from the main Dem bases in the other major cities.
The problem in 2018 was Dems just having too many candidates running in the primary, which allowed Gillum to win the primary with just 34% of the vote. This is one instance where a runoff would have been helpful.
They had some rich guy Jeff Greene running and he self-funded his campaign. He went scorched earth on Graham and Gillum came out of nowhere to win. Gillum turned out to be a terrible candidate with serious ethical problems who cost us the race and did us no favors in the Senate race as well.
Gillum’s subsequent arrest in a Miami hotel room with drugs and another man was disastrous for the FDP and the party still hasn’t recovered from that. I was fortunate to see Gillum speak in person twice and he definitely gave off Obama vibes.But he had personal problems and never should have put himself out there as the face of the party. Plus he was dogged by an FBI “investigation” into his alleged illegal purchase of “Hamilton” tickets from a lobbyist. Pure BS but the GOP and press brought it up constantly.