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axlee's avatar

2018 electorate no longer exists today.

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PollJunkie's avatar

2020 electorate also was the same as 2018, just Trump pulled his single issue maga voters out to vote. Florida Dems ran the worst perennial, vote missing, candidate possible in 2022 which led to a very bad turnout and DeSantis' libertarian COVID policy proved very popular among Latino workers and small businesses in Florida.

Florida was a top destination for illegal immigration as well as affected a lot by the post covid inflation. This along with Ron's popularity easily explains 2024. Venezuelans, Nicaraguans, Columbians and Puerto Ricans in Florida all voted for Democrats till 2020. Yeah more conservatives than liberals did migrate but older retirees pass away and Florida is more urbanized and diverse now. I believe Texas and Florida with Trump's unpopularity among Independents, young voters, Latinos and other minorities will be 2018 redux in 2026 with the races going either way.

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