Kelly in 2022 was +18 with latinos so depends on the race. Not sure what was so appealing by that evil creature Lake. Has there been slippage amongst Latinos across the board, yes.
Yeah, Hobbs won Santa Cruz county (83% Latino) by 33 points. No way that happens if Latinos are just D+4 statewide, especially as urban Latinos as a group consistently vote to the left of rural Latinos.
We lost more statewide races than we won in AZ in 2022, but traded up to Gov and AG. Most of our losing candidates, including SPI, made the mistake of going with AZтАЩs obsolete public funding system and got massively outspent.
We also have to elect candidates that can raise an adequate amount of money to compete for positions that are well funded by business interests (state mine inspector, corporation commission).
While candidate quality matters, the main thing here is to get donors used to donating down ballot after several decades in which most Dem candidates below the top few spots went for the very successful public financing option passed at the ballot. WeтАЩre already seeing that happen, see some swing legislative races. it just hasnтАЩt been total yet, as it now needs to be. Or we could get a trifecta and fix the public financing scheme, but I donтАЩt see that happening. Easier for now to just out raise the GOP on ActBlue.
We wonтАЩt win mine inspector again unless/until we are seen as the тАЬsafe and clean mining partyтАЭ rather than the тАЬno mining partyтАЭor the state becomes entirely urban liberal. Fortunately itтАЩs no longer a particularly broadly powerful position.
It also didn't in 2022, when the only major statewide race we lost was superintendent of education.
We also lost the AZ Treasurer race, but that was never expected to be competitive.
They also ran a normal Republican that we didn't legitimately challenge.
Actually exit polls said Hobbs only won Latinos by +4, she increased her percentage of whites compared to Biden which she only lost by a point 49-50
Does that track that Arizona Latinos have become that Republican?
Kelly in 2022 was +18 with latinos so depends on the race. Not sure what was so appealing by that evil creature Lake. Has there been slippage amongst Latinos across the board, yes.
I don't think so, not if you look at precinct-level data.
Just another indication that exit polls not designed to accurately sub sample minorities will not do so.
I can tell you right now there is no way that accurately reflects actual voting.
Yeah, Hobbs won Santa Cruz county (83% Latino) by 33 points. No way that happens if Latinos are just D+4 statewide, especially as urban Latinos as a group consistently vote to the left of rural Latinos.
We lost more statewide races than we won in AZ in 2022, but traded up to Gov and AG. Most of our losing candidates, including SPI, made the mistake of going with AZтАЩs obsolete public funding system and got massively outspent.
Hopefully a lesson learned
Only if we nominate candidates who give up this notion of public funding because тАЬright thing to do.тАЭ
We also have to elect candidates that can raise an adequate amount of money to compete for positions that are well funded by business interests (state mine inspector, corporation commission).
While candidate quality matters, the main thing here is to get donors used to donating down ballot after several decades in which most Dem candidates below the top few spots went for the very successful public financing option passed at the ballot. WeтАЩre already seeing that happen, see some swing legislative races. it just hasnтАЩt been total yet, as it now needs to be. Or we could get a trifecta and fix the public financing scheme, but I donтАЩt see that happening. Easier for now to just out raise the GOP on ActBlue.
We wonтАЩt win mine inspector again unless/until we are seen as the тАЬsafe and clean mining partyтАЭ rather than the тАЬno mining partyтАЭor the state becomes entirely urban liberal. Fortunately itтАЩs no longer a particularly broadly powerful position.
Corp commission we are competitive for, but are not running real campaigns. Also, off-cycle SRP elections have real power and are basically ignored.