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Kevin H.'s avatar

Actually exit polls said Hobbs only won Latinos by +4, she increased her percentage of whites compared to Biden which she only lost by a point 49-50

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Mark's avatar

Does that track that Arizona Latinos have become that Republican?

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Kevin H.'s avatar

Kelly in 2022 was +18 with latinos so depends on the race. Not sure what was so appealing by that evil creature Lake. Has there been slippage amongst Latinos across the board, yes.

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DiesIrae's avatar

I don't think so, not if you look at precinct-level data.

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benamery21's avatar

Just another indication that exit polls not designed to accurately sub sample minorities will not do so.

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benamery21's avatar

I can tell you right now there is no way that accurately reflects actual voting.

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sacman701's avatar

Yeah, Hobbs won Santa Cruz county (83% Latino) by 33 points. No way that happens if Latinos are just D+4 statewide, especially as urban Latinos as a group consistently vote to the left of rural Latinos.

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