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Mark's avatar

If the number of outstanding votes shown on NBC's county map is right, then it definitely matters. Their estimates shows 48,800 remaining votes just in the counties of Philadelphia, Bucks, Chester, Allegheny, Westmoreland, Erie, Lackawanna, Mercer, and Lycoming counties along with a spattering of thousands more in the remainder of counties. I'm not convinced they're right, but at least thus far, the estimated numbers haven't been too far off when counties like Montgomery and (just now) Delaware came in.

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ArcticStones's avatar

I hope you’re right. But it’s strange that NBC is showing an estimate of just 18,000 uncounted votes statewide in Pennsylvania. That said, that estimate has fluctuated wildly ever since Election Night, and with no obvious pattern.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results

If, by some miracle, Senator Bob Casey does eke out a win, there’s going to be a serious meltdown in the McCormick Campaign and in the MAGA camp.

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Mark's avatar

Agreed. The numbers don't match. Which is why I have some doubt about the county numbers.

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ArcticStones's avatar

Also really curious that NBC is showing a *higher* overall vote count than Pennsylvania’s SoS’ official election site is showing. They’ve certainly not been conspicuous when it comes to clarity or transparency.

https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/General/VoteByMethod?officeId=2&districtId=1&ElectionID=105&ElectionType=G&IsActive=1&isRetention=0

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hilltopper's avatar

I'm guessing that the confusion over number of ballots left to count is due to the issue of which can be counted. From what I have read, counties are following different rules and there is certain litigation--all over whether a ballot that arrived by election day can be counted when the date on the outside envelope is blank or erroneous. Dems say one can't take away a person's right to vote over minutia that cannot make any difference (the ballot arrived on time). R's say the law is the law. I recall the PA Supreme Court faced this issue but not the specifics. News stories say it specified that it was not deciding this particular issue.

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