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ArcticStones's avatar

Glad to see this. But I hope his last name, which looks like a misspelling of "Kavanaugh", won’t prove to be a detriment!

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

Like the post says, Kavanagh is a name with a long history in the district, so I doubt it would be a negative. Plus Kavanaugh and its variants isn't an uncommon name, especially in any area that has any significant population of Irish descendants.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

the median voter also doesn't know who Brett Kavanaugh is!

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Andrew's avatar

Amen! My dad looooooves to talk current events all while not knowing enough about it. (He half listens to the part he wants to hear and then makes up the rest.) It’s been such a trap for me lately where I’m an asshole for telling him he’s making stuff up, I’m an asshole for refusing to engage and I’m an asshole for having a conversation and explaining how wrong he is. It’s a no win situation.

Last time I saw him he goes, “Hey, Andrew, here is something you may know. Who’s in the charge of the House and the Senate?” I was floored. He doesn’t know and only thinks I “may” know? Bitch I could name all 100 Senators back in my college days. I said Republicans are in charge of both and he says, “There should be a law against that.” Too late buddy! “You voted for both of them,” was my response.

MN isn’t a swing state and we don’t live in swing districts so I didn’t have to be all that pissed off about it. But fuuuuuuckkkk. He thinks there is someone in the government getting paid $10.5m a year and knows that that’s more than POTUS, he thinks Harris announced she’s running for POTUS but doesn’t know Republicans control both the House and Senate. He’s probably heard of Brett Kavanaugh in passing.

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the lurking ecologist's avatar

If he doesn't creep out your wife's friends at your daughter's graduation party, then you're doing better than I am. 😡☹️

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Andrew's avatar

Sad. No ick factor. Just a father and son forming a new Cub Scout Troop in the suburbs of Houston after learning it in MN. I was the poster boy white kid in a troop of Latino and black kids teaching them how to camp and fish amongst alligators. I had a lot of fun. Then, I moved back to MN and was forced to learn how to tie knots and earn badges and shit.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I don't think it's a misspelling, just an alternate spelling, and worrying about it is like worrying about people named Smith or Johnson.

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RL Miller's avatar

so who's the 8th candidate running for VA-11? I counted 7 (Aisen, Bennett, Martinez, Pekarsky, Roma, Shin, Walkinshaw). CATargetbot lists a Dan or Daniel Lee but I can't find this person online (lots of people with that name but none looking like a VA-11 candidate).

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

Probably just a Some Dude named Dan Lee

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RL Miller's avatar

found him! and yes, he's sorta a Some Dude https://www.danleeforvirginia.com/home

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Diogenes's avatar

A heated race is shaping up to replace the late Gerry Connolly as top Democrat on the House Oversight Committee. The contenders are: Jasmine Crockett of Texas, Robert Garcia of California, Stephen Lynch of Massachusetts, and Kweisi Mfume of Maryland.

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MPC's avatar

Please let it be Jasmine Crockett. She gets to the point, she's hilarious and a good foil for Gym Jordan.

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Miguel Parreno's avatar

Crockett is my top choice and Garcia is a solid 2nd choice. No thanks to Lynch or Mfume.

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Brad Warren's avatar

I really like Garcia.

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JanusIanitos's avatar

How is Lynch in contention for this? He's not as comparatively bad as he used to be but there's no chance he'd bring the energy and dynamism that we need for this kind of role.

Also why isn't AOC trying again?

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NewEnglandMinnesotan's avatar

Lynch was named by Connolly to be the acting ranking member, so he's the incumbent. I think the main reason AOC isn't running is because she's no longer on the committee

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

I believe Lynch was next in seniority so I'm not sure Connolly "named" him so much as he was the default.

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NewEnglandMinnesotan's avatar

I found that info from a Politico article:

"Connolly designated Lynch, 70, to serve as an interim ranking member."

https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/06/03/congress/jasmine-crockett-versight-00382662

However, I'm not actually sure of how matters of succession works on house committees

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

Yeah even so I think it was an expression of seniority, not an explicit choice per se. Though that does raise the question why he picked Lynch and not Eleanor Holmes Norton, who is senior to Lynch, but there might be some dumb rule about non-voting delegates being committee leadership.

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NewEnglandMinnesotan's avatar

Is that how Carolyn Maloney became Dem oversight leader after Elijah Cummings died? Was she the next most senior member?

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Brad Warren's avatar

Wow, I had no idea Lynch was only 70. He's seemed old since forever.

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Andrew's avatar

I thought that same thing.

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Zero Cool's avatar

Crockett has good moments but she can take her rhetoric too far to the degree where it goes beyond what it was originally intended if she’s not too careful. Her characterization of Governor Greg Abbott in the wheelchair went too far, especially considering it was a tree limb that out of the blue fell down on and paralyzed him.

Besides, she’s also in just her third term in the House and so far is showing more interest in making headlines than actually governing. I’d like to know what she offers to leading the House Oversight Committee, not just what gets her hits and clicks.

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MPC's avatar

I'm tired of people pointing out Crockett's nickname for Abbott. When Rs are making as bad or worse derogatory comments about Democrats (like Hot Wheels himself), Dems need to fight fire with fire.

Turning the other cheek isn't winning elections.

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Zero Cool's avatar

I am sorry but as a staunch liberal I disagree with you on Crockett’s nickname for Abbott. It’s very disrespectful and wasn’t even needed. Last I remember weeks ago, we had such a discussion on The Downballot on this and it was clear in the discussion (not just from me) that Crockett went too far here.

I agree with everything else that Crockett is doing to go after the GOP. She has balls that other Democrats do not.

I just want her to take action and help Democrats win the debate.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

She shouldn't repeat it but the criticism of the nickname has gone too far. When they go low, we go high doesn't work anymore. Their fake outrage shouldn't be given fuel.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I definitely agree, but that's not what we're doing in this discussion.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Dems don't need to fight nasty epithets based on people's race, religion, sex, sexual orientation, disability or appearance with their own epithets based on any of those things.

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MPC's avatar

Abbott is a DISGRACE to the disabled community. I'm not going to hold back when he's taking away rights from able-bodied and disabled people while laughing at us.

Republicans need a taste of their own medicine.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Nobody is saying to hold back in condemning him.

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Tigercourse's avatar

I mean... screw Greg Abbott. As MPC says, being the bigger person doesn't get us anywhere.

That said, I also do think that a lot of people, not necessarily here, have overinflated the importance of who is chairing this committee.

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Tigercourse's avatar

I meant "who the ranking member is".

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NewEnglandMinnesotan's avatar

How do you think people have overinflated the importance of the person serving as ranking member? In my view, leader of the opposition in matters of government oversight would be very consequential

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Tigercourse's avatar

People online (offline no one is aware that committees even exist) have been acting like first AOC and now Crockett taking the position is life and death. Yes, I'm sure it matters in the periphery if Lynch or Crockett or whoever else is in the position, but it's not worth putting your hopes and dreams into. The number of "If AOC/Crockett doesn't get this position we're done!" things I've seen on Reddit or Daily Kos is significant.

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NewEnglandMinnesotan's avatar

I agree that some people are very attached, and possibly overly attached, to one person getting the postion, but I find validity in people saying that the energy and resolve of our opposition leaders matters, especially now. And in this instance, it actually was life and death. Because our oversight leader died. Age matters. Health matters. Experience matters. And willingness to fight matters.

What I think is most important in an oversight committee ranking member is that they are attuned to the procedures of the oversight committee and can keep up with what I assume is a very high workload given the broad jurisdiction afforded to the committee, can effectively question witnesses, and are capable of having a good online presence to disseminate Democrats' opposition message and shine a spotlight on the incompetencies, overreaches, and destructions of the Trump and GOP admin.

If one candidate for the position can't do this as well as another candidate, then I certainly understand why people would care deeply about which one gets the position. And I think it very much matters which of them becomes ranking member.

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Mike in MD's avatar

I don't think that most voters really care about who is ranking member, or even chair, of Oversight or any other committee. Someone who produces viral jabs and soundbites might please the politically minded but that probably won't make a difference to average voters. What might affect elections is what they uncover, not some clever turn of phrase.

I think the whole Oversight thing has been elevated well above what it's worth by online Dems. A younger, or at least healthier, Connolly would have been fine, and there's probably too much "will a star be born today?" anticipation attached to every hearing.

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Voter1919's avatar

Governor Hot Wheels and his crew have dished plenty of racism, bigotry, misogyny, and discrimination. If they are too thin skinned to take a very harmless joke at their own expense, then that's their problem. For me, he is Governor Hot Wheels from now on.

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stevk's avatar

This is not about whether we're insulting Greg Abbott - F Greg Abbott - this is about being disrespectful to the broader disabled community. There is no reason to do that...

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

Trump abuses us with worse nicknames on every major holiday morning, Abbott restricted the ability to sue for the same kind of accident he had from a not so well maintained tree and other similar accidents, and we Democrats start self flaggelating from a single sharp nickname (which shouldn't be repeated tho). And it's not a lie that he bussed migrants all around the nation to NY, Chicago and DC like a kid driving hot wheels.

He bullies lgbtq and migrant kids through new don't say gay, school clubs ban, forced outing for lgbtq kids and no scholarships or in state tuition for even longtime migrant kids. He doesn't fund schools for years until his school choice bill passes, even after that signs modest increases to public school funding, doesn't accept medicaid expansion and school lunch for free to prevent increasing "laziness" subsidized by federal funding. He is an utterly despicable person who is still not considered a MAGA loyalist by Texas GOP standards. May Texas GOP's extremism be the reason for their downfall in 2026 in the form of Paxton.

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Mark's avatar

You can't compare Trump and Crockett as if they're on equal footing with what the public is gonna let them get away with saying. Far fewer voters will be as tolerant of a woman of color using salty references toward a white man than the inverse scenario involving a white male reality TV star who most people have enjoyed watching hurl insults at people since they were in diapers. Trump will get away with this sort of thing. Crockett won't. Unfair? Sure. Reality? Absolutely.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

MTG, Nancy Mace, Boebert, Lindsey etc all do the same. Trump was just a prime example, the entire MAGA movement is built on derogatory trolling. Not really good examples to look up to, but not something to obsess over once it's been said and rebuked.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I agree, but I don't see anyone obsessing here. I doubt any part of this discussion will be repeated in tomorrow's digest discussion thread.

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michaelflutist's avatar

You're right, but I think her good moments are so numerous that they would outweigh any new flap about ill-chosen turns of phrase.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/05/27/blue-wave-democrats-republicans-split-ticket/

Split ticket 2026 scenarios

Scenario ‘Neutral’: D: 221, R: 214

Scenario ‘Ripple’: D: 229, R: 206

Scenario ‘Wave’: D: 236, R: 199

All of this is with only a single SoCal , without a single SoTex or SoFlo seat flipping which would happen if Trump's 2024 coalition breaks.

He just travel banned Venezuelans, Cubans and Haitians.

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Paleo's avatar

AOC endorses Mamdani for mayor. Ranks Arlene Adams second.

She plans to rank Brad Lander, the city comptroller, third, followed by Scott Stringer, a former comptroller, and Zellnor Myrie, a state senator from Brooklyn.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/nyregion/aoc-endorse-mamdani-mayor.html?smtyp=cur&smid=bsky-nytimes

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michaelflutist's avatar

I'm sorry she did that. As I pointed out a while ago, Mamdani is promising pie in the sky. Such a candidate doesn't warrant serious consideration, and I don't think he can win.

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AWildLibAppeared's avatar

Even if you don't think he can win, I hope you and all other NYCers still rank him somewhere--even if you rank him last--and don't rank Cuomo.

I'm pretty unimpressed with Mamdani, to be honest. But Cuomo becoming the face of the Democratic Party again would be a disaster politically, and his tenure as mayor would no doubt be marred with corruption.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I'll probably rank him 5th, but endorsing him is a disappointing malpractice.

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bpfish's avatar

I wonder if Dave Young's entry in CO-08 increases or decreases the chances of Caraveo getting the nomination. She has to be the weakest nominee we could put forth and really ought to see to her own health before trying to return to Congress. Rutinel has never actually been tested in a competitive race and may be a reach for this swing district. As for Young, I'm just not going to support anyone joining Congress in their 70s, not anymore. Not unless you're Janet Mills. Shannon Bird seems like she was just printed out of a Democratic candidate machine using a generic template, but she doesn't appear to have any obvious weaknesses, unlike the other major candidates.

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Jay's avatar

It's hard to say. I kind of doubt all of these candidates will make it to the primary next year, but I would guess the more candidates there are, the better Caraveo's chances are since she is well known at this point. Rutinel has been trying to increase his name recognition through social media. He posted a pretty obvious thirst trap on Tik Tok and Instagram recently, which apparently got him thousands of new followers. It's probably a nice ego boost to have girls swoon over you online, but I have my doubts about whether that will translate to midterm primary votes. Young is probably one of the least well-known of the statewide politicians in CO, although maybe he's better known in Weld County since he lives there.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Thirst trap: new one on me.

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Andrew's avatar

Someone just showed their age. 😉

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michaelflutist's avatar

You already know my age.

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michaelflutist's avatar

As a New York City resident, I take seriously my responsibility to decide who I'll vote for in several races. Here is some information about the City Council District 2 race, open because Carlina Rivera is termed out: https://www.amny.com/politics/election-candidates-city-council-district-2/ https://www.cityandstateny.com/politics/2025/03/new-york-city-council-2025-primary-races-watch/403034/

My thoughts: I think Harvey Epstein will get my first choice vote (I suppose this is a ranked choice election?). He's a good liberal and is endorsed by people I respect like Jerry Nadler, and all of his program sounds good and reasonable to shoot for in the real world. I like Andrea Gordillo's background as an arts administrator and community activist, but pushing for a rent freeze in an inflationary period is not reasonable. Sarah Batchu has campaigned very aggressively, plastering the neighborhood with flyers, sending canvassers to my 6-story non-doorman walkup repeatedly and cold calling me while I was taking a shit while getting ready for work. I don't think I support her proposal to "prohibit registered sex offenders and individuals convicted of sexual harassment, abuse, or rape from holding public office in the city", as applied to elected officials, because I think people should be able to vote for whomever they want, and ex-cons should be able to hold office unless convicted of insurrection. Otherwise, I don't have any reason to oppose her, so she may get my 2nd-choice vote if I have one. I oppose Allie Ryan because she opposes congestion pricing, wants to limit cannabis licenses, and is cited as having a history of opposing rezonings, which sounds like nimbyism. And of course Anthony Weiner is a sex pest from Queens, and why would anyone vote for him?

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michaelflutist's avatar

Other races I need to decide about are mayor, public advocate and Manhattan borough president, though in that case, I'm not sure who's running other than Brad Hoylman, whom I like, and I believe public advocate is Jumaane Williams against a challenger, and I doubt there's any good reason to vote to primary Williams out.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I guess comptroller, too, as Brad Lander is running for Mayor.

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

JD Scholten's campaign website has an amazing line: "I grew up here and I’ll die here – but hopefully not because I can't get health insurance."

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Brad Warren's avatar

There's something about him that I've always really liked.

I know it will still be a very tough race to win, but I feel like he gives us about as good of a shot as we can reasonably expect.

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Henrik's avatar

I mean, he’s probably not wrong. That money printer going brr after Labor Day and the constant stream of Twitter bullshit (especially around the cats in Springfield nonsense taking up oxygen) probably helped more than we realize

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

I think the cats and dogs thing in the debate rather than costing him votes, only helped him. Big lies are an effective propaganda tool just like the 21m illegal figure out of thin air which is more likely around 6m acc to various estimates.

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Henrik's avatar

I think the help was more indirect by crowding out coverage of his otherwise terrible debate performance

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Mark's avatar

Absolutely. It tapped into something visceral in voters frightened that their community would become Springfield, Ohio. It didn't matter if they believed the anecdote or not. Just the thought of it other-ized "those people" to a degree that triggered most voters to circle the wagons. Any time at all Trump was talking about immigration in 2024, he was winning the conversation.

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bpfish's avatar

They're in open war now. Elon brought up the Epstein files.

Thankfully most popcorn is produced in America, so no tariffs.

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Brad Warren's avatar

Trump is in the Epstein files...I mean, DUHHHHHHH.

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Paleo's avatar

Wouldn’t surprise me if he were responsible for his death.

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stevk's avatar

I wish I could like this comment 10 times...

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

Why is Trump going after Cubans? by cancelling their TPS, parole, resuming deportation flights and including Cuba in the second "Muslim ban" despite them being one of the most pro Trump demographics (70-30) and being a key voting bloc for the GOP in Florida. I know many Cubans voted for deportations but not for deporting illegal anti communist activists, revoking tps or legal humanitarian parole and instituting a travel ban on Cuba. Many also thought he would be deporting the "gangsters and drug dealers" not the illegal immigrant "collaterals" without a criminal background.

I think it's due to the heavy presence of Floridians in his cabinet, which contrary to popular belief, did not result in better treatment for the politically influential Cubans, but rather see a see them as a group hell-bent on 'replacing' them in Florida because most of them are non Latino whites other than Rubio.(who's happy to keep shut and do anything Trump demands even rising to no. 2 spot in polls and has become a celebrated figure within MAGA)

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

Cuban Americans hate Cuba

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

But he is not going after Cuba, he is going after them now. There are no cards left to sanction Cuba anymore.

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michaelflutist's avatar

There probably are, but your point is made.

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Kevin H.'s avatar

Did you consider that he's a big, fat, racist? Probably doesn't care what Cuban Americans think, but they'll still support him

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michaelflutist's avatar

Interesting hypothesis. Venezuelan and Nicaraguan refugees in the U.S. tend to be right-wing, too, don't they? Yet he goes after them. As Kevin H. says, he hates Latinos - except for particular people who can help him.

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Guy Cohen's avatar

Cubans turning on Trump en masse is a good way to put Florida back on the board. Also puts three safe R house seats in Dade in danger.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Right. In theory.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

https://x.com/elonmusk

Such a glorious sight to behold, Elon picking apart the GOP and the MAGA meltdown. This will be written in the books.

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the lurking ecologist's avatar

Popping up a fresh bucket of popcorn.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

https://x.com/daveweigel/status/1930319740632723961 Turnout doesn't exist. There was no Ralph Nader.

I am going to donate to and knock the doors for any electable liberal candidate in 2028 that is not the dream reincarnation of Bill Clinton that folks like Lakshya Jain and Auchincloss want. This same disrespect towards the base and high handedness for decades led to the rise of Bernie Sanders and the Progressive caucus in the first place. They think running Blue Dogs is going to solve everything just like how the Blue Dogs stripped down the ACA and the fiscal stimulus leading to 2010. (I voted for Hillary btw, she was also very liberal and electable imo and who expected the email "scandal" to blow up anyway) They want a fight with the base, they'll get one. Thank the Progressive era for primary elections that saves us from these hacks.

https://medium.com/@JakeAuch/the-answer-isnt-diet-coke-c3847e4422dd He wants straight up austerity which is surely going to be extremely popular with voters. Sadly, their agenda didn't even break through due to the Elon-Trump chaos.

https://x.com/ettingermentum/status/1930323576504098875 I don't agree with this guy normally but it's TRUE! Yglesias is indifferent to Garcia rotting in the gulag despite the immense unpopularity of the decision even in GOP focus groups.

They are also weirdly obsessed with trolling Bluesky folks.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Why does he want that?

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

Ideology maybe, kneejerk opposition because Van Hollen is a Progressive and maybe because he thinks it's a moral cause which electoral brownie points can't be scored on. He also thinks the Garcia case is unpopular among the median group of voters which it is clearly not.

https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/kilmar-abrego-garcia-immigration-democrats-yglesias?

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Paleo's avatar

“Imagine a world where young people aren't thrilled by College Dems or College Republicans and join "the college Abundists."”

Imagine world where there were so-called Democrats who didn’t make you want to vomit.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

Apparently, these guys especially David Shor hates ActBlue too since it benefits "rich white leftists" more than the working class. Or maybe... just maybe because their power has crashed since it was launched with the will of the people. Apparently, the base also is mostly "rich white leftists" according to Jain.

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Andrew's avatar

Yup, that’s exactly why I’ve had a $5 monthly donation to Rebecca Cooke out in WI-3 for a couple of years, now. We’re both rich white leftists trying to make it big. ::sigh::

I’m so sick of Democrats trying to analyze Democrats. The whole charade of it all is exactly why Democrats lose. We can’t help ourselves when it comes to being smarter than other people. It’s so unappealing and voters can see that.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Neither Biden nor Harris made me want to vomit. Supporting fascists because the opponents to them aren't your ideal - well, what would you call that?

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

Is Paleo referring to all Democrats or these Blue Dogs?

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michaelflutist's avatar

Considering that we were talking about young people voting for Trump...

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Paleo's avatar

The latter, if they even rise to that low level.

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Tim Nguyen's avatar

Apparently Musk is floating the idea of a 3rd party. Sure he's the richest person in the world. May as well toss some cash into this pet project. Surely it won't blow up in anyone's faces. The only problem is finding any half decent idiots willing to sell out their integrity and pride to kiss up to Musk.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

Lakshya Jain and Elon can do it together and break the two party system. Jain can be the brains and Elon the muscle. You'll find a lot of politicians like Larry Hogan. /s

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Toiler On the Sea's avatar

Jain is a center-left Dem; Musk is a radical paleo-libertarian.

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DivergentAxis(DA)'s avatar

IMV he's a centrist more aligned with the Perez-Golden camp. They'll meet in the middle somewhere. Compromise is the key to winning.

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Harrison Konigstein's avatar

https://www.theguardian.com/football/2025/jun/05/donald-trump-travel-ban-includes-exemption-for-world-cup-and-olympic-athletes

For some reason, Trump's travel ban includes exemptions for World Cup and Olympic Athletes.

Personally, If I were Trump, I would have told FIFA that we were no longer willing to host the World Cup-it's a waste of money in general, and I think Trump could have gotten a ton of political brownie points from all sides of the spectrum by taking on FIFA-it's quite possibly the most corrupt organization of any kind in the world (yes, FIFA is more corrupt than Trump is-the amount of bribery surrounding the awarding of the last several World Cups is the kind of stuff Trump aspires to achieve).

Also, if we are banning entry to countries that are enemies of the United States, the listed exemptions are in the wrong place-athletes and celebrities are more likely to support their governments policy than ordinary citizens in most countries.

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the lurking ecologist's avatar

I know FIFA is corrupt, but the NCAA is working hard to one-up them

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michaelflutist's avatar

Evidence?

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Henrik's avatar

The NCAA sucks but it’s not even in the same stratosphere as the IOC, let alone the considerably worse FIFA

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Justin Gibson's avatar

Song sums up the EM v. DJT feud good.

Sabrina Carpenter "Manchild" (2025) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aSugSGCC12I

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