Fair. It’s possible I’d put it on the very end of the bell curve with about equal probability of a 7 point win for Brown. I think the current polls are probably pretty accurate and Brown ends up holding on by a point or two.
I might have to think about it a little more but initial thought is an Osborne win in NE is about as likely as a decisive (5 pt) Moreno win in OH. That’s probably a little bit too optimistic but not by much.
Fair. It’s possible I’d put it on the very end of the bell curve with about equal probability of a 7 point win for Brown. I think the current polls are probably pretty accurate and Brown ends up holding on by a point or two.
I might have to think about it a little more but initial thought is an Osborne win in NE is about as likely as a decisive (5 pt) Moreno win in OH. That’s probably a little bit too optimistic but not by much.