That's a very coherent post, but do you really think there isn't a significant number of Haley voters and other principled Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who are wrestling with the question of whether to vote for a Democrat for President for the first time?
I think there is. The unresolved question is how many of these people there are proportional to the ongoing collapse that seems to be happening among downscale voters. There could well be more than I think, but the dot diagram of economically conservative and socially liberal voter allocation leads me to believe there's fewer of these types of voters than conventional wisdom suggests. Before Trump, it strikes me that Mitt Romney was counting on the same demographic that Harris is now to pull him over the finish line but there simply weren't enough of them.
That's a very coherent post, but do you really think there isn't a significant number of Haley voters and other principled Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who are wrestling with the question of whether to vote for a Democrat for President for the first time?
I think there is. The unresolved question is how many of these people there are proportional to the ongoing collapse that seems to be happening among downscale voters. There could well be more than I think, but the dot diagram of economically conservative and socially liberal voter allocation leads me to believe there's fewer of these types of voters than conventional wisdom suggests. Before Trump, it strikes me that Mitt Romney was counting on the same demographic that Harris is now to pull him over the finish line but there simply weren't enough of them.