Sure but in this hypothetical she's lost PA but would have won it with Shapiro. Assuming Michigan is close enough that picking Shapiro moves it to hte loss column that still means she has more paths to victory (for example - winning WI and AZ and NV, or WI and one of NC and GA - both of which would be losses if she won MI and lost PA).
If she doesn’t win both of them, she’s unlikely to win.
Sure but in this hypothetical she's lost PA but would have won it with Shapiro. Assuming Michigan is close enough that picking Shapiro moves it to hte loss column that still means she has more paths to victory (for example - winning WI and AZ and NV, or WI and one of NC and GA - both of which would be losses if she won MI and lost PA).