Any info on the professionality of this pollster? My impression is that there is now a flood of bad polls from questionable pollsters that aim to influence the polling averages. We saw the same before the 2022 Midterm Elections creating the illusion of a Red Wave that never arrived.
"Weighting" the polls doesn’t solve the problem. If you "throw them in the average" they are still going to have an adverse effect on the average.
Neither pollster has a particularly good rating from either the Silver or new 538 ratings, but on the other hand, being willing to publish numbers that look a little noisy and weird does suggest the right approach. There will always be noise in polls.
Any info on the professionality of this pollster? My impression is that there is now a flood of bad polls from questionable pollsters that aim to influence the polling averages. We saw the same before the 2022 Midterm Elections creating the illusion of a Red Wave that never arrived.
"Weighting" the polls doesn’t solve the problem. If you "throw them in the average" they are still going to have an adverse effect on the average.
Fabrizio is Trump's pollster, but here he's working jointly with the Democratic GBAO group for the WSJ.
Neither pollster has a particularly good rating from either the Silver or new 538 ratings, but on the other hand, being willing to publish numbers that look a little noisy and weird does suggest the right approach. There will always be noise in polls.