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Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

Hey, nobody gonna mention Dems picked up the IA State Senate special in an upset: https://nitter.poast.org/PollTracker2024/status/1884443218764521788#m

Dems also overperformed in the MN special.

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Kevin H.'s avatar

It's upthread

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hilltopper's avatar

It was supposed to be an R-7 district and the Dem, Mark Zimmer, is up by 3.6 points.

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Henrik's avatar

Whoa!

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Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

This Iowa district is the successor of SD-49, which was held by Dem Rita Hart until 2018 and then Republican-held from then onwards.

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Mark's avatar

I'm not sure what Obama won this district by, but I suspect more than 58% in both elections. Few places in the country swung as hard to the right in the Trump era as this Senate district.

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Mark's avatar

The vote was 4,812 for Zimmer and 4,473 for Whittington. For perspective, in 2022, Cournoyer won 14,552-9,292. Obviously, take the win, but it seems like we could be poised for another misleading wave of special elections with slightly elevated Democratic turnout not necessarily reflective of the electoral reality.

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Paleo's avatar

But possibly reflective of a midterm reality.

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Jonathan's avatar

Exactly

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