I won't challenge the breakdown of your buckets of voters. It's our information ecosystem that I suspect will keep Trump's coalition intact for the foreseeable future. The part of his voting coalition that spends their free time watching slip and fall videos on Tik Tok are definitely not plugged in to be critical of his first-week moves.…
I won't challenge the breakdown of your buckets of voters. It's our information ecosystem that I suspect will keep Trump's coalition intact for the foreseeable future. The part of his voting coalition that spends their free time watching slip and fall videos on Tik Tok are definitely not plugged in to be critical of his first-week moves. The rest of his coalition is consuming media that will either dismiss or ignore entirely the controversial moves he's made.
Bottom line: I suspect there's a vanishingly small share of the 49.9% that is consuming any kind of critical reaction to Trump's opening week. The Trump voters who are reading The Atlantic or the New York Times, or watching network news, where critical reaction to Trump exists are almost all in the nonpersuadable bucket you describe. As for the rest, it's hard to see how exactly they are ever gonna hear a discouraging word about him in the media that they do consume. The cracks in the armor can only be expected to come if economic fundamentals (jobs, prices) noticeably falter. Autocratic behavior alone, no matter how severe, cannot be expected to dissuade them.
If they persist in doing things like send ICE to raid elementary schools that's going to filter through to folks who voted for him who have a problem with that type of enforcement.
Well, I hope you end up wrong but I can see ways that you could be right.
I don't think it changes your answer much, if at all, but I do want to clarify that I'm not so much hopeful of the last week changing people's minds purely on coverage being bad. Although that can factor. I'm thinking on the volume of stuff being covered.
I think society's biggest complaint with his admin is that there was a constant, seemingly daily, drop of "Big News" that was happening. Some stuff purely bad, like scandals. Some stuff announcements. Some stuff policy changes, that can be good or bad to an individual depending on their partisanship. The endlessness of it was exhausting. Seemingly even more exhausting for people that are only sorta into politics at most.
This past week has been that on overdrive. And seeping into so many other areas, not just traditional news media.
I won't challenge the breakdown of your buckets of voters. It's our information ecosystem that I suspect will keep Trump's coalition intact for the foreseeable future. The part of his voting coalition that spends their free time watching slip and fall videos on Tik Tok are definitely not plugged in to be critical of his first-week moves. The rest of his coalition is consuming media that will either dismiss or ignore entirely the controversial moves he's made.
Bottom line: I suspect there's a vanishingly small share of the 49.9% that is consuming any kind of critical reaction to Trump's opening week. The Trump voters who are reading The Atlantic or the New York Times, or watching network news, where critical reaction to Trump exists are almost all in the nonpersuadable bucket you describe. As for the rest, it's hard to see how exactly they are ever gonna hear a discouraging word about him in the media that they do consume. The cracks in the armor can only be expected to come if economic fundamentals (jobs, prices) noticeably falter. Autocratic behavior alone, no matter how severe, cannot be expected to dissuade them.
If they persist in doing things like send ICE to raid elementary schools that's going to filter through to folks who voted for him who have a problem with that type of enforcement.
Well, I hope you end up wrong but I can see ways that you could be right.
I don't think it changes your answer much, if at all, but I do want to clarify that I'm not so much hopeful of the last week changing people's minds purely on coverage being bad. Although that can factor. I'm thinking on the volume of stuff being covered.
I think society's biggest complaint with his admin is that there was a constant, seemingly daily, drop of "Big News" that was happening. Some stuff purely bad, like scandals. Some stuff announcements. Some stuff policy changes, that can be good or bad to an individual depending on their partisanship. The endlessness of it was exhausting. Seemingly even more exhausting for people that are only sorta into politics at most.
This past week has been that on overdrive. And seeping into so many other areas, not just traditional news media.