Agreed. The most vulnerable seats in Florida right now are not the ones held by Anna Paulina Luna and Maria Salazar, it's the seats held by Lois Frankel and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz. The only scenario I can envision where Florida ceases to be a sponge for anti-tax cranks is if Trump's threat is actually acted upon and states have to take…
Agreed. The most vulnerable seats in Florida right now are not the ones held by Anna Paulina Luna and Maria Salazar, it's the seats held by Lois Frankel and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz. The only scenario I can envision where Florida ceases to be a sponge for anti-tax cranks is if Trump's threat is actually acted upon and states have to take on their own disaster relief expenses independent from FEMA or the federal government. Until then, right wingers will continue to have it both ways....moving to Florida so that their fortunes are untaxed, and then demanding federal taxpayers foot the bill for rebuilding after every storm.
Will it? At this point Florida is so gone I'd rather it become a republican vote sink, with democrats leaving it for other states and republicans moving in. That helps our odds in other states.
But will that stop the anti-tax cranks from going there if they remain confident that federal disaster relief will always be there to make them whole in lieu of insurance?
All of them? Nah. More than today? Absolutely. There’s already some small signs of instability and in affordability in Florida real estate compared to 5-6 years ago, to say nothing of the 2000s and 2010s boomtimes
I think it's way too early for this assessment; let's see how Trump performs here in the second term; DeSantis is definitely less popular now than 2 years ago when he won re-election
Even if you assume that FL has hit Peak Red and there's nowhere to go for Dems but up, it's going to take a lot to get it back to truly competitive, especially as Team Blue seemingly feels increasingly comfortable with triaging it.
But news of any encouraging developments would be welcome. The bipartisan revolt against DeSantis described above was a nice surprise.
Agreed. The most vulnerable seats in Florida right now are not the ones held by Anna Paulina Luna and Maria Salazar, it's the seats held by Lois Frankel and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz. The only scenario I can envision where Florida ceases to be a sponge for anti-tax cranks is if Trump's threat is actually acted upon and states have to take on their own disaster relief expenses independent from FEMA or the federal government. Until then, right wingers will continue to have it both ways....moving to Florida so that their fortunes are untaxed, and then demanding federal taxpayers foot the bill for rebuilding after every storm.
The continued collapse of Florida’s insurance industry seems a more immediate live threat to everyday life there than FEMA funding
which will benefit the Democrats
Will it? At this point Florida is so gone I'd rather it become a republican vote sink, with democrats leaving it for other states and republicans moving in. That helps our odds in other states.
I live here; I don't want that at all
I'm definitely sympathetic to that perspective! I don't want republicans in charge of where I live either.
exactly.. Lol
And yes the insurance collapse will benefit the out party
Same
But will that stop the anti-tax cranks from going there if they remain confident that federal disaster relief will always be there to make them whole in lieu of insurance?
All of them? Nah. More than today? Absolutely. There’s already some small signs of instability and in affordability in Florida real estate compared to 5-6 years ago, to say nothing of the 2000s and 2010s boomtimes
not that simple, but I get your point
I think it's way too early for this assessment; let's see how Trump performs here in the second term; DeSantis is definitely less popular now than 2 years ago when he won re-election
Too early? How many consecutive cycles of Florida trending redder than the rest of the country do you need to see before you're convinced?
Trump could be just the remedy is all I am saying; our state without a FEMA would be a 3rd World country imo
Even if you assume that FL has hit Peak Red and there's nowhere to go for Dems but up, it's going to take a lot to get it back to truly competitive, especially as Team Blue seemingly feels increasingly comfortable with triaging it.
But news of any encouraging developments would be welcome. The bipartisan revolt against DeSantis described above was a nice surprise.
And could still support Republicans.
Wasn't Debbie Wasserman-Schultz redistricted to the new FL-25 whereas she previously served in FL-23 from 2013-2023?
Is the new FL-25 less or more blue than the previous FL-23?