It works two ways: Generic R might not bring out the Trump cultists, at least not in force, but there are still probably a substantial number of GOP-inclined voters who refuse to vote for Trump but would for others with the red branding not too closely associated with him. (Many of them of course wouldn't vote for Harris, either and so m…
It works two ways: Generic R might not bring out the Trump cultists, at least not in force, but there are still probably a substantial number of GOP-inclined voters who refuse to vote for Trump but would for others with the red branding not too closely associated with him. (Many of them of course wouldn't vote for Harris, either and so may not be winnable for any Dem.)
But I think that if states like those listed (which weren't all "within 5 points", but that's nitpicky) didn't go red this time then they probably won't in 2028--note GOP dropoffs from 2004-08 and 2016-20 in many states.
It works two ways: Generic R might not bring out the Trump cultists, at least not in force, but there are still probably a substantial number of GOP-inclined voters who refuse to vote for Trump but would for others with the red branding not too closely associated with him. (Many of them of course wouldn't vote for Harris, either and so may not be winnable for any Dem.)
But I think that if states like those listed (which weren't all "within 5 points", but that's nitpicky) didn't go red this time then they probably won't in 2028--note GOP dropoffs from 2004-08 and 2016-20 in many states.