Samuel Sero on The Downballot

[Samuel Sero]

PA-Sen, I don’t care if the math is challenging or what’s still unknown but the fact that McCormick is still trying to stop votes from being counted does not convince he has this in the bag. You don’t try to stop counting votes if you’re that confident you won. https://x.com/maddymcdaniel14/status/1857099466811027501?s=46&t=NhLQrgM30BfZmjI73-3rMg

[Tom A]

Its weird because the math is basically impossible at this point. 60k ballots outstanding with almost all of Philly in. Casey would have to win 72% of the vote to win. Its just not happening. Its just weird that McCormick is going this hard on challenging this stuff given that he's likely to be up by 15k or so when the counting gets wrapped up tomorrow.

[Samuel Sero]

One thing to keep in mind, and this is the part about the math being impossible argument I’m not overly convince by: Casey lead McCormick on early mail-voting 64-34 while McCormick lead with Election Day voting 55-43. 71% of the total vote is from Election Day whereas 28% is from early mail in voting. The McCormick campaign claims there is not enough votes from Philly for Casey to win yet he’s trying to stop votes from being counted and not just the ones from Philly. One possible scenario that no one has mentioned is that maybe the remains ballots are all over the state and not just from specific areas but are still Democratic because what is clear is that while Republicans may have done a little better with mail in voting, they still heavily prefer to vote in person. So it could be Dem voters, even in red and swingy counties like Bucks and Erie, are what breaks more towards Casey. I could be wrong but it’s just a thought.

[Mark]

The math isn't impossible to close a 26,500-vote deficit with 60,000 remaining ballots. It's a long shot but it's not impossible.

[Andrew]

It’s not about confidence it’s about taking care of business. He ran to win and his campaign is working to make sure that happens.