Of the 4 races DDHQ hasn't called (CA-13, CA-21, CA-45, AK-AL) I think Dems are definitely favored in 2 of them. Costa in CA-21 will almost certainly win and I'd much rather be Tran in CA-45 at this point. I wouldn't be surprised if Gray pulls it out in CA-13, but I'd rather be Duarte, and I'd much rather be Begich in Alaska (although I really, really hope Peltola can manage to win).
I have a sneaking suspicion that Gray wins in CA-13 - Merced results so far are oddly red (a 19-point shift from 2020?!). Guessing those late votes are quite blue. So, I'm guessing we end up at 215. But 214 is absolutely possible.
Republican Kevin Lincoln has conceded the CA-09 race to incumbent Democrat Josh Harder. Also, Decision Desk HQ projects the Harder win.
https://nitter.poast.org/KevinLincolnCD9/status/1856918732473295103#m
Dems pretty much guaranteed to have 213. 216 is the max.
Yeah I'm thinking Dems will end up at 214.
Of the 4 races DDHQ hasn't called (CA-13, CA-21, CA-45, AK-AL) I think Dems are definitely favored in 2 of them. Costa in CA-21 will almost certainly win and I'd much rather be Tran in CA-45 at this point. I wouldn't be surprised if Gray pulls it out in CA-13, but I'd rather be Duarte, and I'd much rather be Begich in Alaska (although I really, really hope Peltola can manage to win).
Agree. Which mean a 0 change in seats.
All the democrats that lost this closely should run again (and Peltola for Senate) imo
I have a sneaking suspicion that Gray wins in CA-13 - Merced results so far are oddly red (a 19-point shift from 2020?!). Guessing those late votes are quite blue. So, I'm guessing we end up at 215. But 214 is absolutely possible.
I thought CA-13 had more or less been called for Duarte?
No. Not yet.
76% votes are in. Gray is down by 2.4% points.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/california-us-house-district-13-results