It is also the only path he has that involves just three states and he's behind in polls in two of them. Without any one of those three, Trump would need to win four of the remaining five swing states not named Nevada to win.
UNH had a poll with Harris up 5 in ME-02 about a month ago. The more recent one from Pan Atlantic Research showing Trump up 7 is more in line with 2020 but still it's probably not too expensive to run some ads and get some organizers out from New England.
Good post.
NC has 16 EV's this round, I believe.
Trump's best path to 270 is his 219 base + 16 NC + 16 GA + 19 PA. 219 + 51 = 270.
Corrected. Thanks!
In every situation; Pennsylvania remains key(literally the 'keystone' state)
It is also the only path he has that involves just three states and he's behind in polls in two of them. Without any one of those three, Trump would need to win four of the remaining five swing states not named Nevada to win.
We could take it away with Maine under that scenario, the same way we need Nebraska's one vote with the "blue wall."
UNH had a poll with Harris up 5 in ME-02 about a month ago. The more recent one from Pan Atlantic Research showing Trump up 7 is more in line with 2020 but still it's probably not too expensive to run some ads and get some organizers out from New England.