It's a red seat and Maine republicans like him, so he'll have a real chance.
At the same time, swingy Maine voters seem to have soured on him if we take the size of his 2022 defeat into account. Mills' 2022 margin was bigger than her 2018 margin. Against Golden I think he's a modest underdog. If Golden opts to run for something else, I think any republican will be favored to pick up that seat. Unfortunately the seat is so red that we cannot really hope for better than that in either scenario.
It really isn’t that red that LePage, who’s not well liked in Maine, would be favored in a D-friendly year. Austin Theriault would have decent odds at winning an open seat but LePage would be a clear underdog.
Maine's 2nd CD:
How is former Gov. Paul LePage's (R) chances rated? He's only 2 years younger than Trump (born 1948), so he's old as well. 💙🇺🇲
It's a red seat and Maine republicans like him, so he'll have a real chance.
At the same time, swingy Maine voters seem to have soured on him if we take the size of his 2022 defeat into account. Mills' 2022 margin was bigger than her 2018 margin. Against Golden I think he's a modest underdog. If Golden opts to run for something else, I think any republican will be favored to pick up that seat. Unfortunately the seat is so red that we cannot really hope for better than that in either scenario.
He won ME-02 in 2022 by just 3 points. Trump carried it by 10.
It really isn’t that red that LePage, who’s not well liked in Maine, would be favored in a D-friendly year. Austin Theriault would have decent odds at winning an open seat but LePage would be a clear underdog.
It’s not a Republican seat. Any more than NE 2 is a Democratic seat.
That asshole wrote "stolen election" on Jared Golden's first certificate of election in 2018 (because Poliquin was ahead before re-allocation).
I hope Golden mops the floor with him.