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JanusIanitos's avatar

It's a red seat and Maine republicans like him, so he'll have a real chance.

At the same time, swingy Maine voters seem to have soured on him if we take the size of his 2022 defeat into account. Mills' 2022 margin was bigger than her 2018 margin. Against Golden I think he's a modest underdog. If Golden opts to run for something else, I think any republican will be favored to pick up that seat. Unfortunately the seat is so red that we cannot really hope for better than that in either scenario.

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David Nir's avatar

He won ME-02 in 2022 by just 3 points. Trump carried it by 10.

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Guy Cohen's avatar

It really isn’t that red that LePage, who’s not well liked in Maine, would be favored in a D-friendly year. Austin Theriault would have decent odds at winning an open seat but LePage would be a clear underdog.

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Paleo's avatar

It’s not a Republican seat. Any more than NE 2 is a Democratic seat.

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