I totally agree and have said that many times before on this board. This might be the one time in 100 where it might matter by just a fraction of a point. No matter what the polls say by Election Day I think Harris gets NC
I totally agree and have said that many times before on this board. This might be the one time in 100 where it might matter by just a fraction of a point. No matter what the polls say by Election Day I think Harris gets NC
Usually goes the other way. The polling shows a Democratic win in NC but then the Republican prevails. The best hope Dems have throughout the battlegrounds is that pollsters are weighting too heavily on obsolete 2016 and 2020 electorates just as pollsters weighted too heavily on Obama electorates during the Trump era. We saw signs of that in 2022 , in NC and elsewhere, and it's not unreasonable to think the same could happen again. I'm certainly getting too mentally invested in that narrative, but after 2022, it wouldn't surprise me.
I totally agree and have said that many times before on this board. This might be the one time in 100 where it might matter by just a fraction of a point. No matter what the polls say by Election Day I think Harris gets NC
Usually goes the other way. The polling shows a Democratic win in NC but then the Republican prevails. The best hope Dems have throughout the battlegrounds is that pollsters are weighting too heavily on obsolete 2016 and 2020 electorates just as pollsters weighted too heavily on Obama electorates during the Trump era. We saw signs of that in 2022 , in NC and elsewhere, and it's not unreasonable to think the same could happen again. I'm certainly getting too mentally invested in that narrative, but after 2022, it wouldn't surprise me.
Larry Sabato agrees with me(it's a debatable topic for sure); but this might be the one time exception to a general rule
Fun factoid: the last Republican to win the Presidency without North Carolina, Ike in 1956.