Usually goes the other way. The polling shows a Democratic win in NC but then the Republican prevails. The best hope Dems have throughout the battlegrounds is that pollsters are weighting too heavily on obsolete 2016 and 2020 electorates just as pollsters weighted too heavily on Obama electorates during the Trump era. We saw signs of tha…
Usually goes the other way. The polling shows a Democratic win in NC but then the Republican prevails. The best hope Dems have throughout the battlegrounds is that pollsters are weighting too heavily on obsolete 2016 and 2020 electorates just as pollsters weighted too heavily on Obama electorates during the Trump era. We saw signs of that in 2022 , in NC and elsewhere, and it's not unreasonable to think the same could happen again. I'm certainly getting too mentally invested in that narrative, but after 2022, it wouldn't surprise me.
Usually goes the other way. The polling shows a Democratic win in NC but then the Republican prevails. The best hope Dems have throughout the battlegrounds is that pollsters are weighting too heavily on obsolete 2016 and 2020 electorates just as pollsters weighted too heavily on Obama electorates during the Trump era. We saw signs of that in 2022 , in NC and elsewhere, and it's not unreasonable to think the same could happen again. I'm certainly getting too mentally invested in that narrative, but after 2022, it wouldn't surprise me.