Gluesenkamp Perez's district seems to be getting less red (go ahead and fact check me on that if I'm incorrect). Certainly she's gone in the next GOP-leaning cycle but I think she's well-positioned to survive the next cycle with the current trajectory.
Gluesenkamp Perez's district seems to be getting less red (go ahead and fact check me on that if I'm incorrect). Certainly she's gone in the next GOP-leaning cycle but I think she's well-positioned to survive the next cycle with the current trajectory.
Hard to compare because of different environments and different district borders. Wiki says the 2020 redistricting made it slightly redder. Has the 2020 presidential results as 51-46 (R-D, same for all other numbers I list here), and 2024 as 50-47. It's not clear to me if the former number is the numbers for the current borders or not. Either way that would point at it getting a decent bit less red. The shift from 2020 to 2024 wasn't that big in WA but the district still moved leftward slightly.
Guaranteed same map has 2022 senate at 54-46 and 2024 senate at 50-49. Cantwell did ~4 points better in 2024 than Murray did in 2022, so by that metric the district moved 3-4ish points less red.
Actually with that kind of trend it's not impossible that MGP could win in the next red year if it's enough cycles away. If it's not until 2030 or so that could give her time to really cement herself + for the district to hopefully move a bit more towards her.
Gluesenkamp Perez's district seems to be getting less red (go ahead and fact check me on that if I'm incorrect). Certainly she's gone in the next GOP-leaning cycle but I think she's well-positioned to survive the next cycle with the current trajectory.
Hard to compare because of different environments and different district borders. Wiki says the 2020 redistricting made it slightly redder. Has the 2020 presidential results as 51-46 (R-D, same for all other numbers I list here), and 2024 as 50-47. It's not clear to me if the former number is the numbers for the current borders or not. Either way that would point at it getting a decent bit less red. The shift from 2020 to 2024 wasn't that big in WA but the district still moved leftward slightly.
Guaranteed same map has 2022 senate at 54-46 and 2024 senate at 50-49. Cantwell did ~4 points better in 2024 than Murray did in 2022, so by that metric the district moved 3-4ish points less red.
Actually with that kind of trend it's not impossible that MGP could win in the next red year if it's enough cycles away. If it's not until 2030 or so that could give her time to really cement herself + for the district to hopefully move a bit more towards her.