The district still has more Democrats than Republicans. While some of these are older voters who have never bothered to change their registration, Beshear carried the district twice in his gubernatorial runs.
The district still has more Democrats than Republicans. While some of these are older voters who have never bothered to change their registration, Beshear carried the district twice in his gubernatorial runs.
That would be political suicide. He has nothing to gain and everything to lose. States still elect Governors from the opposite color because they believe in the legislature to keep a check on them. Senate has different political calculations and ticket splitting is mostly dead federally. He wouldn't be able to run again immediately for 2028 even if he won.
This wouldn’t be for senate (I agree that he’d lose that by double digits even in a Trump midterm), but for KY-06 which is substantially to the left of the state.
I don't think Beshear has a real chance if he runs for President-best case scenario, his campaign goes as well as Hickenlooper or Bullock's 2020 campaign.
I disagree there, the idea that the best case scenario is he polls at 1% and everyone forgets he even ran for it seems implausible (what would be a worst-case scenario compared to that if that’s the best case scenario?). I don’t think he’d win, but getting as far as someone like Klobuchar did isn’t hard to imagine.
These are ancestral democrats not active democrats, Kentucky had a Democratic registration majority till 2022 but it has been a red state since the last 20-30 years.
The district still has more Democrats than Republicans. While some of these are older voters who have never bothered to change their registration, Beshear carried the district twice in his gubernatorial runs.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kentucky%27s_6th_congressional_district
Hell, I'd love to see Andy Beshear himself run. He grew up in Lexington.
That would be political suicide. He has nothing to gain and everything to lose. States still elect Governors from the opposite color because they believe in the legislature to keep a check on them. Senate has different political calculations and ticket splitting is mostly dead federally. He wouldn't be able to run again immediately for 2028 even if he won.
This wouldn’t be for senate (I agree that he’d lose that by double digits even in a Trump midterm), but for KY-06 which is substantially to the left of the state.
I don't think Beshear has a real chance if he runs for President-best case scenario, his campaign goes as well as Hickenlooper or Bullock's 2020 campaign.
I disagree there, the idea that the best case scenario is he polls at 1% and everyone forgets he even ran for it seems implausible (what would be a worst-case scenario compared to that if that’s the best case scenario?). I don’t think he’d win, but getting as far as someone like Klobuchar did isn’t hard to imagine.
Beshear's best and worst case scenarios aren't different to me.
I'm assuming in the best case, that he'd do well in debates and eventually be the VP Pick for a Harris or Whitmer.
We can't discuss Democratic presidential primaries here.
He won't.
I know.
These are ancestral democrats not active democrats, Kentucky had a Democratic registration majority till 2022 but it has been a red state since the last 20-30 years.
Louisiana still has more registered Democrats than Republicans, up to this day. For whatever its worth.