And they're finding Baldwin up 52-47 H2H and 51-45 multi candidate as well, just a point or so better than Harris. RV numbers 52-48 for Harris as well.
Considering Wisconsin being close in Presidential Elections is nothing new - people forget that both Gore and Kerry won the Badger State by less than one half per cent in their races - a four to seven per cent margin there is looking pretty good.
The 3BigTen states (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania) have voted the same in every presidential since 1988; I expect this year to be the same(and yes, they will all be relatively close)
Nope. Wisconsin voted for Dukakis. Bush the Elder won Michigan and Pennsylvania. Interestingly Dukakis did better in Pittsburgh than he did in Philadelphia.
I said since1988 meaning I was not including it; perhaps bad wording but not going to quibble; my point is about this year(I knew the 1988 results; interesting to me was Connecticut, California, actually a lot of Western states)
They're not bad. Their last poll in 2022 had Johnson up 2 and Evers Tied. I will say all pollsters had a decent 2022 in Wisconsin than the 2020 debacle.
Wisconsin: Marquette poll has Harris up 52-48 with LVs. 49-44 in multi candidate field.
That's a very good Wisconsin pollster.
And they're finding Baldwin up 52-47 H2H and 51-45 multi candidate as well, just a point or so better than Harris. RV numbers 52-48 for Harris as well.
Actually itтАЩs 53-46 in both. Think youтАЩre looking at the poll from three weeks ago.
Wow. Apparently I can't read. Thanks for the catch!
Surprised at the convergence of Baldwin and Harris in so many polls. I figured Baldwin would run at least 3 points ahead of the top of the ticket.
Well, she actually is in terms of the spread. 53-46 compared to 52-48
I might add it's really nice to see BOTH over 50%
Considering Wisconsin being close in Presidential Elections is nothing new - people forget that both Gore and Kerry won the Badger State by less than one half per cent in their races - a four to seven per cent margin there is looking pretty good.
The 3BigTen states (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania) have voted the same in every presidential since 1988; I expect this year to be the same(and yes, they will all be relatively close)
Nope. Wisconsin voted for Dukakis. Bush the Elder won Michigan and Pennsylvania. Interestingly Dukakis did better in Pittsburgh than he did in Philadelphia.
I said since1988 meaning I was not including it; perhaps bad wording but not going to quibble; my point is about this year(I knew the 1988 results; interesting to me was Connecticut, California, actually a lot of Western states)
That would mean since 1992. Since always includes the starting point.
Isn't the Marquette poll kinda the Selzer equivalent in Wisconsin?? (Or am I remembering wrong?)
Pretty much.
They're not bad. Their last poll in 2022 had Johnson up 2 and Evers Tied. I will say all pollsters had a decent 2022 in Wisconsin than the 2020 debacle.
It was the DSCC that goofed it
I'm not convinced of this
I thought their track record wasn't quite as good as hers, but maybe I'm wrong.
Selzer is in a league of her own. But Marquette is definitely in the top main tier of pollsters
Didn't Marquette have Hillary up by 7 in 2016?