IтАЩm not going to say IтАЩm expecting it, but thereтАЩs A LOT of things Democrats can promise Murkowski to entice her for projects/funding etc in Alaska. ItтАЩs a pretty small and rural state and billions is a drop in the bucket.
SheтАЩs also more likely to lose her next re-election campaign, even if Alaska voters keep RCV in place. She almost lost to an absolute nutjob. A credible, single, even uber conservative challenger with money backing will take her down.
Her best route to win next time, if she wants to run, is as an Independent without a Democrat running. The best way to achieve that is to caucus with тАЬthe party that can best help AlaskaтАЭ that I will reassess every presidential term. With a hopefully Democratic president, that choice is pretty clear.
If she doesnтАЩt want to run, that also is a point towards a higher likelihood of her saying exactly that while caucusing with Democrats for her last term.
Again, I donтАЩt expect it, but itтАЩs absolutely within the realm of plausibility after November, especially if Harris wins the presidency and Democrats flip the House.
I wonder what Murkowski's terms would be to be a Dem-caucusing independent, if her vote would get us to 50 (with Walz breaking ties).
I'm just not seeing it
IтАЩm not going to say IтАЩm expecting it, but thereтАЩs A LOT of things Democrats can promise Murkowski to entice her for projects/funding etc in Alaska. ItтАЩs a pretty small and rural state and billions is a drop in the bucket.
SheтАЩs also more likely to lose her next re-election campaign, even if Alaska voters keep RCV in place. She almost lost to an absolute nutjob. A credible, single, even uber conservative challenger with money backing will take her down.
Her best route to win next time, if she wants to run, is as an Independent without a Democrat running. The best way to achieve that is to caucus with тАЬthe party that can best help AlaskaтАЭ that I will reassess every presidential term. With a hopefully Democratic president, that choice is pretty clear.
If she doesnтАЩt want to run, that also is a point towards a higher likelihood of her saying exactly that while caucusing with Democrats for her last term.
Again, I donтАЩt expect it, but itтАЩs absolutely within the realm of plausibility after November, especially if Harris wins the presidency and Democrats flip the House.
Very interesting analysis!