I’m not going to say I’m expecting it, but there’s A LOT of things Democrats can promise Murkowski to entice her for projects/funding etc in Alaska. It’s a pretty small and rural state and billions is a drop in the bucket.
She’s also more likely to lose her next re-election campaign, even if Alaska voters keep RCV in place. She almost lost to an absolute nutjob. A credible, single, even uber conservative challenger with money backing will take her down.
Her best route to win next time, if she wants to run, is as an Independent without a Democrat running. The best way to achieve that is to caucus with “the party that can best help Alaska” that I will reassess every presidential term. With a hopefully Democratic president, that choice is pretty clear.
If she doesn’t want to run, that also is a point towards a higher likelihood of her saying exactly that while caucusing with Democrats for her last term.
Again, I don’t expect it, but it’s absolutely within the realm of plausibility after November, especially if Harris wins the presidency and Democrats flip the House.
I'm just not seeing it
I’m not going to say I’m expecting it, but there’s A LOT of things Democrats can promise Murkowski to entice her for projects/funding etc in Alaska. It’s a pretty small and rural state and billions is a drop in the bucket.
She’s also more likely to lose her next re-election campaign, even if Alaska voters keep RCV in place. She almost lost to an absolute nutjob. A credible, single, even uber conservative challenger with money backing will take her down.
Her best route to win next time, if she wants to run, is as an Independent without a Democrat running. The best way to achieve that is to caucus with “the party that can best help Alaska” that I will reassess every presidential term. With a hopefully Democratic president, that choice is pretty clear.
If she doesn’t want to run, that also is a point towards a higher likelihood of her saying exactly that while caucusing with Democrats for her last term.
Again, I don’t expect it, but it’s absolutely within the realm of plausibility after November, especially if Harris wins the presidency and Democrats flip the House.
Very interesting analysis!