you are definitely allowed to use the word caution (it's your opinion after all) and I get that, but imo extreme caution sometimes borders on the ridiculous; taking that type district is a huge win(to make it even competitive is a huge indicator of the Trump second term environment and the chaos that's already a daily occurrence); someone here posted that Trump is already like -10 in approval rating and it's still JANUARY
Caution is the right way to go about it. That said, I do have more optimism for special election overperformance portending a good midterm than I do for it portending a good presidential election. Not that it's definitive either way.
Agreed. In my head, this shows that damn near every Dem showed up to vote while the GOP had typical voter drop-off in a special, giving us a tiny win. The drop-off will be much less in a midterm but if Dems are operating at Pres year strength and the GOP is operating at midterm year strength, the GOP loses big time.
It's definitely a start and bodes well for the out party
I think Mark’s caution in the digest last night (it’s his home state after all) is warranted but there’s no way to read it as *bad* news, by any means
you are definitely allowed to use the word caution (it's your opinion after all) and I get that, but imo extreme caution sometimes borders on the ridiculous; taking that type district is a huge win(to make it even competitive is a huge indicator of the Trump second term environment and the chaos that's already a daily occurrence); someone here posted that Trump is already like -10 in approval rating and it's still JANUARY
Oh, sure. There’s no way to interpret it as bad news!
Caution is the right way to go about it. That said, I do have more optimism for special election overperformance portending a good midterm than I do for it portending a good presidential election. Not that it's definitive either way.
I think the important part is that we are now the out party
Agreed. In my head, this shows that damn near every Dem showed up to vote while the GOP had typical voter drop-off in a special, giving us a tiny win. The drop-off will be much less in a midterm but if Dems are operating at Pres year strength and the GOP is operating at midterm year strength, the GOP loses big time.
Exactly
Same - seems like it’s a better correlation