EXTRA POINTS: Faced with the prospect that Trump rather than President Biden will choose their successor, how many federal judges will cancel their retirement announcement?
EXTRA POINTS: Faced with the prospect that Trump rather than President Biden will choose their successor, how many federal judges will cancel their retirement announcement?
The four Circuit Court of Appeals judges that were a part of Schumer's "deal" are who matter. I think two of them, 6th US Circuit Judge Jane Branstetter Stranch and 4th US Circuit Judge James Andrew Wynnwill, will rescind their retirements.
Is that a gut feeling or have you seen reports that hint at this?
Frankly, I was stunned when Schumer [proudly!] announced his deal! He is now rushing to confirm more Biden judges. Imho, Schumer and Durbin should have acted with urgency far earlier, making sure they didn’t unnecessarily leave a single vacant judgeship for Trump to fill.
The deal was a good one. Those four seats didnt have 50 votes for the current nominees, while the 13 or whatever lower court seats did. So they basically got to rush through a bunch of sure thing votes at the expense of seats that would have been open either way, and which now two are not open.
Yes, given the realities of the Senate in late November, it was a good deal.
However, that deal should never have been necessary! President Biden and the Senate leadership had ages to find circuit judge nominees that would enjoy sufficient support – and to whip the necessary confirmation votes.
There is simply no excuse for Schumer and Durbin et al having painted themselves into this corner where time is running out and there were no better options.
For the last 3.5 years – and especially the last six to ten months – our Senate leadership should have been acting with a continuing sense of urgency to transform the federal judiciary, meaning those district judges should already have been confirmed.
As it is, come January 2025, too many judgeships that could have been filled by Biden, Schumer and Durbin will be vacant – and not just because of Blue Slips.
– Biden has appointed 45 circuit court judges. Trump: 54.
– Biden has appointed 181 district court judges. Trump: 174.
NB. Eight of these district judges were confirmed this week, with five district judges and one circuit court judge confirmed last week.
"As of December 5th, there are 50 Article III vacancies, 35 of which are current. There are now 15 pending nominees: 8 waiting for floor votes [NB cloture votes already held on 4], 3 waiting to be reported out of the Senate Judiciary Committee, and 4 waiting for hearings."
This deal was an incredibly bad one. Schumer got almost nothing for killing the nominations of 4 appellate nominees for lifetime seats on the bench. Even if Park and Mangi didn't have the votes and Schumer couldn't figure out how to ensure enough absences to get them through, it's more than likely that he could have gotten Campbell and Lipez. He should have forced Collins to vote yes or use it as an issue in 2026 ("Sen. Collins killed the nomination of a moderate nominee to give the seat to Donald Trump").
Schumer could have--should have--gotten so much more from this deal. He should have demanded unanimous consent on all the remaining district nominees--no more wasting time on unnecessary cloture votes. He should have demanded an SJC hearing on the remaining district nominees, and to go to an immediate SJC vote the following day, as was done in the past. No messing around with "a week for written questions" and "a week to holdover." Then move them to the floor as soon as possible. That means Farhadi Weinstein, Kanter, Shaw-Wilder, and Jackson--no exceptions.
Schumer is so bad at this he's going to leave 2 SDNY seats open for Trump to fill. That's in his backyard. He had leverage--he has the majority, and only Mangi and Park were questionable as to whether they'd get all 51 Democratic votes. Did he think Thune is going to play nice since they got what they wanted from Schumer? It is to laugh. The sooner we get a new Dem Leader in the Senate, the better.
That makes no sense. Schumer had the majority--"what was available" were a series of votes where Democrats outvoted Republicans each time. I agree that some of the nominees wouldn't have made it--Mangi and Park seemed the most vulnerable, and something happened with Kanter that she never got an ABA evaluation--but Democrats had the votes for the others. Campbell would have been a party line vote, and as I said, Collins should have been forced to take a stand one way or the other on Lipez. As it is, it's questionable that they get Murillo and Cheeks, who should have been part of the deal.
not an ad hominem attack; an honest evaluation; but I am sure you will keep responding but that's ok cause I'm done reading any more of your inane posts; Cheers🍻
EXTRA POINTS: Faced with the prospect that Trump rather than President Biden will choose their successor, how many federal judges will cancel their retirement announcement?
I believe we’re at two – and counting.
The four Circuit Court of Appeals judges that were a part of Schumer's "deal" are who matter. I think two of them, 6th US Circuit Judge Jane Branstetter Stranch and 4th US Circuit Judge James Andrew Wynnwill, will rescind their retirements.
Is that a gut feeling or have you seen reports that hint at this?
Frankly, I was stunned when Schumer [proudly!] announced his deal! He is now rushing to confirm more Biden judges. Imho, Schumer and Durbin should have acted with urgency far earlier, making sure they didn’t unnecessarily leave a single vacant judgeship for Trump to fill.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/05/politics/liberal-judges-reversing-their-retirement-plans/index.html
Thanks! I was aware of district judges Max Cogburn and Algenon Marbley, but not the machinations and hopes around the circuit judges.
The deal was a good one. Those four seats didnt have 50 votes for the current nominees, while the 13 or whatever lower court seats did. So they basically got to rush through a bunch of sure thing votes at the expense of seats that would have been open either way, and which now two are not open.
Yes, given the realities of the Senate in late November, it was a good deal.
However, that deal should never have been necessary! President Biden and the Senate leadership had ages to find circuit judge nominees that would enjoy sufficient support – and to whip the necessary confirmation votes.
There is simply no excuse for Schumer and Durbin et al having painted themselves into this corner where time is running out and there were no better options.
For the last 3.5 years – and especially the last six to ten months – our Senate leadership should have been acting with a continuing sense of urgency to transform the federal judiciary, meaning those district judges should already have been confirmed.
As it is, come January 2025, too many judgeships that could have been filled by Biden, Schumer and Durbin will be vacant – and not just because of Blue Slips.
1 Circuit Court seat is worth at least 5 district court seats.
Worth noting:
– Biden has appointed 45 circuit court judges. Trump: 54.
– Biden has appointed 181 district court judges. Trump: 174.
NB. Eight of these district judges were confirmed this week, with five district judges and one circuit court judge confirmed last week.
"As of December 5th, there are 50 Article III vacancies, 35 of which are current. There are now 15 pending nominees: 8 waiting for floor votes [NB cloture votes already held on 4], 3 waiting to be reported out of the Senate Judiciary Committee, and 4 waiting for hearings."
https://www.acslaw.org/on-the-bench-week-of-december-5/
This deal was an incredibly bad one. Schumer got almost nothing for killing the nominations of 4 appellate nominees for lifetime seats on the bench. Even if Park and Mangi didn't have the votes and Schumer couldn't figure out how to ensure enough absences to get them through, it's more than likely that he could have gotten Campbell and Lipez. He should have forced Collins to vote yes or use it as an issue in 2026 ("Sen. Collins killed the nomination of a moderate nominee to give the seat to Donald Trump").
Schumer could have--should have--gotten so much more from this deal. He should have demanded unanimous consent on all the remaining district nominees--no more wasting time on unnecessary cloture votes. He should have demanded an SJC hearing on the remaining district nominees, and to go to an immediate SJC vote the following day, as was done in the past. No messing around with "a week for written questions" and "a week to holdover." Then move them to the floor as soon as possible. That means Farhadi Weinstein, Kanter, Shaw-Wilder, and Jackson--no exceptions.
Schumer is so bad at this he's going to leave 2 SDNY seats open for Trump to fill. That's in his backyard. He had leverage--he has the majority, and only Mangi and Park were questionable as to whether they'd get all 51 Democratic votes. Did he think Thune is going to play nice since they got what they wanted from Schumer? It is to laugh. The sooner we get a new Dem Leader in the Senate, the better.
"Schumer ... should have demanded unanimous consent on all the remaining district nominees – no more wasting time on unnecessary cloture votes."
How true! En bloc confirmation by unanimous consent.
wrong again; it's what was available
That makes no sense. Schumer had the majority--"what was available" were a series of votes where Democrats outvoted Republicans each time. I agree that some of the nominees wouldn't have made it--Mangi and Park seemed the most vulnerable, and something happened with Kanter that she never got an ABA evaluation--but Democrats had the votes for the others. Campbell would have been a party line vote, and as I said, Collins should have been forced to take a stand one way or the other on Lipez. As it is, it's questionable that they get Murillo and Cheeks, who should have been part of the deal.
As usual, you make no sense; your naivete of how actual politics works is sad or laughable depending on ones sense of humor
Ad hominem attacks are usually a sign that someone doesn't have a good argument.
not an ad hominem attack; an honest evaluation; but I am sure you will keep responding but that's ok cause I'm done reading any more of your inane posts; Cheers🍻
Schumer has a nominal majority. But do we know whether Manchin and Sinema would have gone along?
Of course not.that deal was as good as it gets. our side lost, reality should set in, but with this poser above, unicorns I guess must be real
Collins survived voting for ACB, I dont think forcing her to vote on a lower court nominee would matter at all.