I think your 2nd point is the key one. Otherwise, I don't know why we would assume the Election Day vote would be more Democratic than the early votes so far.
I think your 2nd point is the key one. Otherwise, I don't know why we would assume the Election Day vote would be more Democratic than the early votes so far.
Knowing what happened in the 2022 midterms in FL, I’m not assuming anything. There are going to be Democrats still voting in FL on Election Day. I suspect the turnout will improve from 2022 but how much I don’t know. It’s more of an instinctive feeling I have at this point.
I would though keep my eyes peeled on what happens in Miami. There is serious fallout from the racist comedian at Trump’s rally. Kamala Harris as well as Debbie Mucarsel-Powell are both likely to benefit from crossover Hispanic and Latino voters. If Cubans end up voting strongly against Trump, then it’s fair to say the GOP better hold on to their butts.
I think your 2nd point is the key one. Otherwise, I don't know why we would assume the Election Day vote would be more Democratic than the early votes so far.
Knowing what happened in the 2022 midterms in FL, I’m not assuming anything. There are going to be Democrats still voting in FL on Election Day. I suspect the turnout will improve from 2022 but how much I don’t know. It’s more of an instinctive feeling I have at this point.
I would though keep my eyes peeled on what happens in Miami. There is serious fallout from the racist comedian at Trump’s rally. Kamala Harris as well as Debbie Mucarsel-Powell are both likely to benefit from crossover Hispanic and Latino voters. If Cubans end up voting strongly against Trump, then it’s fair to say the GOP better hold on to their butts.